Racing Alpha ledger: v1.0 hits +12.23pt on a 34-race week

Another step forward for the v1.0 card

Racing Alpha’s v1.0 card returned to positive territory this week, with 8 winners from 34 settled races producing a profit of +12.23pt. That nudges the season ledger a fraction closer to breaking even, though the overall picture remains a work in progress.

Day by day: Monday’s flyer, Wednesday’s blank

• Monday 17th was the standout — 5 wins from 10 races, a hefty +14.70pt. That alone banked the week’s profit. If every day looked like this, we’d be smiling.
• Tuesday 18th (0/7, -7.00pt) and Wednesday 19th (0/3, -3.00pt) were the cold spells. No sugarcoating — two blank days in a row is a tough watch.
• Thursday 20th gave back some momentum with 2 winners from 7, adding +10.20pt.
• Saturday 22nd (1/5, -0.67pt) and Sunday 23rd (0/2, -2.00pt) were quieter, but the week still closed in the black.

Best of the week: Fuseboard at 12.00

The highlight was Fuseboard, who won at an advised 12.00, delivering +11.00pt in a single shot. That’s the kind of price that makes the system work — one decent-priced winner can rescue a whole day. No other winner landed above 5.00, so the profit was built on that one big result plus a solid Monday.

Worst of it: the blanks

Two days entirely without a winner is the reality of strike-rate modelling — the v1.0 card still hits at roughly 16% for the season, and that means dry spells. The midweek quiet period knocked -10.00pt from the week’s early gains, but Thursday’s double helped claw it back.

Season picture: 41 wins from 260 settled

The full public ledger now reads 41 wins from 260 settled races, with a level-stakes balance of -33.0pt. That’s a strike rate of just under 16%, and a loss of -0.13pt per race. The v1.0 card is still in the red for the season, but weeks like this one show the pricing upside exists. We’re not there yet — but the trajectory is slowly bending.

What’s next

This week brings the usual mix of UK and Irish flat and jumps, with bank holiday Monday action to look forward to. The team is scanning early declarations for any well-fancied runners at a price. You can follow the live card at racingalpha.co.uk/tip and view the full season ledger (all numbers, always) at racingalpha.co.uk/performance.