The model test — today's card

v1.0's full daily slate, frozen at publication and settled in public — a running experiment, not betting advice. It's racing head-to-head against challenger v1.1 under a pre-registered promotion rule; whichever wins takes this page. For per-race analysis, see the top-rated and best-value calls on each racecard.

+18.1% avg CLV70% beat the close468 picks public

Today's card (9 picks)

Race	Selection	AI	Advised	Result
17:00Fontwell Free Race Replays On Attheraces.com Handicap Hurdle	Jefe Triunfo	69.3	4/1·4.90Matchbook	pending
14:30Gowran Park Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle	Cobra Queen	66.4	11/2·6.60Smarkets	pending
17:35Fontwell Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle	County Champs	66.0	9/2·5.40Betfair Exchange	pending
16:25Fontwell Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle	Birthday Angel	65.4	4/1·5.00Betfair Exchange	pending
19:00Southwell (AW) Bettingsites.co.uk Free Bet Offers Novice Stakes (gbb Race)	Hozam	59.8	12/1·13.00Matchbook	pending
20:30Southwell (AW) Bettingsites.co.uk Betting Sites Reviewed Fillies' Handicap Stakes	Shopaholic	58.9	9/4·3.15Matchbook	pending
17:20Southwell (AW) Bettingsites.co.uk Best Betting Offers Nursery Handicap Stakes	Prince Kameo	56.6	9/2·5.60Betfair Exchange	pending
16:45Southwell (AW) Bettingsites.co.uk Compare Before You Bet Handicap Stakes	Saxophonic	49.6	9/4·3.25Matchbook	pending
18:30Southwell (AW) Bettingsites.co.uk New Customer Offers Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)	Fully Stocked	46.9	5/1·5.90Matchbook	pending

Live picks first, settled picks below — pending races are what you came for.

Our only performance claim

The honest scoreboard

Closing line value

+18.1%

70% of our advised prices beat the close across 468 measured picks. The metric professionals judge tipsters by.

The CLV ledger →

Measured advised best-book price vs SP — a basis that flatters price-shopping. Method & caveats on the ledger.

Season-long public testpick 468 of ~500 · verdict May 2027

We publish the autopsy whatever it says. Judge us on the full sample, not a hot or cold month.

P/L so far +29.9pt · virtual bankroll £1299.40 of £1,000inside the expected luck band

−53pt0+53pt

At a 19% strike rate, ±53pt of pure luck is normal over 468 picks. +29.9pt is noise, not a verdict — why we publish drawdowns →

Full detail: bankroll chart, strike rate, ROI, stakes

Picks

501

468 settled

Strike rate

19.0%

89W · 379L

ROI

6.4%

per pick

Stake

£10

level · 1pt

Shaded area = the ±1σ luck band under a breakeven assumption. The line wandering inside it means the sample hasn't decided anything yet. £1,000 virtual start, £10 = 1pt level stake, settled at the advised price.

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18+ · Tips are opinions, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Results ledger (491 — every pick permanent and public)

The full record →

v1.0 settled results ledger
Date	Race	Selection	Advised	Result	P&L
02/10/2026	20:15Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Blazing Son	3/1·3.95Betfair Exchange	win	+£29.50 +2.95 pts
02/10/2026	19:45Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Jamaican Storm	8/1·9.00Unibet	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	19:15Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Soul Warrior	9/1·9.80Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	17:55Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Fancy Dancer	8/1·9.20Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	17:45Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Star Mirage	15/2·8.60Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	17:15Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Claret Time	7/1·8.00Betfred	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	16:40Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Kameel	6/1·6.80Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	16:25Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Quiet Summer	10/3·4.33Bet365	win	+£33.30 +3.33 pts
02/10/2026	16:05Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Koko Blue	9/4·3.25BetTom	win	+£22.50 +2.25 pts
02/10/2026	15:58Hexham Hurdle · Class 5 · Good	Scottish Dancer	7/2·4.70Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	15:51Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Queen Sana	15/2·8.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	15:41Gowran Park Hurdle · Good	At The Wings	4/1·5.00Bet365	win	+£40.00 +4.00 pts
02/10/2026	15:16Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Style King	11/2·6.60Matchbook	win	+£56.00 +5.60 pts
02/10/2026	15:06Gowran Park Hurdle · Good	Euro Agent	10/1·11.00Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	14:41Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Lahan Kingman	10/3·4.20Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
02/10/2026	14:06Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Anna Belardo	13/2·7.60Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	20:30Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Little Ted	15/2·8.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	20:00Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Dc Cogent	9/4·3.35Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	19:00Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Vanilla Skies	11/4·3.75Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	18:30Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Baldosa	12/1·14.00Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	18:00Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Not My Type	11/2·6.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
01/10/2026	17:00Newcastle (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Junkyard Dog	11/2·6.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	20:30Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Nicely Curved	7/1·8.00LiveScore Bet	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	20:00Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Offiah's Boy	11/2·6.60Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	19:30Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Lilykoy	7/1·8.20Matchbook	win	+£72.00 +7.20 pts
29/09/2026	17:30Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 4 · Standard	Gold Star Gazing	9/2·5.60Matchbook	win	+£46.00 +4.60 pts
29/09/2026	17:13Ayr Flat · Class 6 · Heavy	Time Turner	5/2·3.50Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	17:00Wolverhampton (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Currumbin	15/2·8.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	16:40Ayr Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	Belsito	9/1·10.00Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	16:08Ayr Flat · Class 6 · Heavy	Novak	11/1·12.50Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	15:45Sedgefield Hurdle · Class 5 · Good	Zamond	13/2·7.60Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	15:38Ayr Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	Quest For Fun	5/1·5.90Smarkets	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	15:08Ayr Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	Star Cast	4/1·4.90Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
29/09/2026	14:38Ayr Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	What A Girl Wants	5/2·3.40Smarkets	win	+£24.00 +2.40 pts
29/09/2026	14:08Ayr Flat · Class 5 · Heavy	Leopards Rock	7/1·8.20Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
27/09/2026	17:30Curragh Flat · Heavy	Chipsrdown	9/2·5.40Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
27/09/2026	16:55Curragh Flat · Heavy	Our Boy Bailey	11/1·12.50Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
27/09/2026	16:20Curragh Flat · Heavy	The Reverend	7/1·7.80Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	20:00Southwell (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Justice Court	10/1·11.00Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	19:30Southwell (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Gladiadora	9/2·5.50Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	18:30Southwell (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Madjid	5/2·3.40Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	18:00Market Rasen Hurdle · Class 5 · Good	Electric Eddy	7/2·4.70Betfair Exchange	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	17:10Haydock Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	Soul Limbo	10/1·11.0010 Bet	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	17:00Market Rasen Hurdle · Class 5 · Good	Timely Salute	10/3·4.30Betfair Exchange	win	+£33.00 +3.30 pts
26/09/2026	16:45Southwell (AW) Flat · Class 5 · Standard	Plastic Dream	11/2·6.40Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	16:30Listowel Hurdle · Good To Yielding	Ladiam	10/1·11.00Matchbook	win	+£100.00 +10.00 pts
26/09/2026	16:10Southwell (AW) Flat · Class 6 · Standard	Let's Go Hugo	4/1·5.20Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	16:00Haydock Flat · Class 4 · Heavy	Camarda Rc	7/2·4.5010 Bet	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	15:55Listowel Hurdle · Good To Yielding	Livio	11/4·3.75Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts
26/09/2026	14:45Listowel Hurdle · Good To Yielding	Blue Johnl	13/2·7.60Matchbook	lose	-£10.00 -1.00 pts

Latest 50 of 491 settled picks. Older picks →

Picks are opinions, not advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Every pick is logged win or lose. Compare all models on /head-to-head.