Who won the 20:15 Newcastle (AW) on 2 October 2026?
Blazing Son (GB) won the 20:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Bryan Smart.
20:15 Newcastle (AW)
Pipes Vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,245 · Friday, 2 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50Race report
- 1stBlazing Son (GB)AI top pick · 53.6Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndGet Up Everybody (IRE)David Nolan·Paul Midgley·beaten .75 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdMayo County (GB)Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 0.3 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 14.56s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Blazing Son (GB))
“Led from the start - rousted 2f out when strongly pressed - kept finding for pressure - edged clear inside final 110yds to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way41.7/100 rating
Mayo County
6.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Dance Fantasy
Dance Fantasy is our selection for this Newcastle sprint, and her progressive profile is the reason we side with her over the two joint top-rated runners. She sits on 64, only a few pounds shy of Blazing Son and Brazen Idol on 70, and a horse still on the upgrade can close that kind of gap in a modest Class 6 contest. Blazing Son and Brazen Idol are the obvious dangers on raw figures, with Get Up Everybody on 66 also needing respect. Dance Fantasy looks the one most likely to improve past them over the six furlongs.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Blazing Son
Paul Mulrennan · Bryan Smart · 8yo
Top-rated of 10
score 53.6 · +11.9 clear of next best (41.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight95small sample (n=8)Bryan Smart: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
- Form20% weight20weakLast 6: 9-8-5-3-0-8
MarketBest price 4.20 (Matchbook) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.02
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.88
High (8–10)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 3 8yo · G · ch | 985308 | 62 | 53.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 10 4yo · G · b | 753314 | 60 | 39.0 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 6 5yo · M · bp | 331403 | 60 | 41.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: John Ryan · draw 1 7yo · G · br | 728500 | 64 | 34.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 8 3yo · F · btv | 08345 | 62 | 37.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 7 4yo · F · gt | 736 | 50 | 34.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 4 8yo · G · bb | 11005 | 62 | 39.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 969577 | 57 | 40.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 9 4yo · G · btp | 90008 | 55 | 26.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 7 | J: David Allan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 5 8yo · G · b | 16750 | 57 | 40.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:15 Newcastle (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Blazing Son, won the race (AI score 53.6).
What were the placings in the 20:15 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Blazing Son (GB) (4.50), 2. Get Up Everybody (IRE) (4.00), 3. Mayo County (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:15 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 14.56s.
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