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RacingAlpha

Head-to-head

v1.0, v1.1, Furlong — three Racing Alpha picking strategies running in public. Each launches with £1000.00 and stakes a flat £10.00 per pick at the advised price. Every selection is logged before the off, every result settled by the result. No editing, no hindsight.

Tracking since 2026-05-20 · Headline v1.0 tip ledger · Closing Line Value · Methodology

v1.0
Heuristic picker
£1259.40
+£259.40 (+25.94 pts)

Weighted blend of official rating, trainer 14-day form, recent finishing positions and freshness. Transparent — every score breaks down into four numbers.

Picks
501
477 settled
Strike
18.9%
90W · 387L
ROI
5.4%
per pick
Stake
£10.00
level 1pt
Multi side-pot1/59 · 8 open
+£296.40
v1.1
ML model (shadow)
£1516.10
+£516.10 (+51.61 pts)

CatBoost classifier trained on 12 months of UK + Irish races, with pace from result comments and Betfair price-drift signals. Picks the highest-scoring horse in any race that passes the segment-edge filter.

Picks
429
404 settled
Strike
19.1%
77W · 327L
ROI
12.8%
per pick
Stake
£10.00
level 1pt
Multi side-pot1/51 · 9 open
-£94.50
Furlong
Goes the distance
£970.00
-£30.00 (-3.00 pts)

A hand-picked daily three, looking for races where the data fundamentals all point at the same horse — RPR matching TS, form trajectory up, trainer recently in the winner's circle, and a price that doesn't yet reflect the read. Ignores segment filters; chases the cleanest data profile of the day, wherever it shows up.

Picks
3
3 settled
Strike
0.0%
0W · 3L
ROI
-100.0%
per pick
Stake
£10.00
level 1pt
Multi side-pot0/1
-£2.00

Bankroll over time

v1.0v1.1Furlong£1000.00 start
£437£769£1101£1433£1765£1259£1516£97020 May27 Jul4 Oct

Bankrolls only move when a pick settles. Pending picks are not included in the curve until the race result lands.

Today · 04/10/2026

v1.0 picks
0
races
v1.1 picks
0
races
Furlong picks
0
races
Shared race
0
no overlap
Unanimous
0
all models, same horse

Head-to-head ledger (614 races)

How to read this:ROI is per pick (P&L ÷ settled picks). Strike rate counts races where the model's pick crossed the line first. Voided runners count as zero. Prices shown are the best available at the advised time — live results settle to the advised price, not SP.

v1.0 is the strategy behind our published daily card. v1.1 and Furlongare running in the open: the dashboard updates with every pick and every result. We'll consider promoting a challenger to drive the public card only after it holds positive ROI over a meaningful sample.

Tips are opinions, not advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. BeGambleAware.org