Who won the 16:50 Southwell (AW) on 17 September 2026?
Insuspense (GB) won the 16:50 Southwell (AW) at SP 8.00. Ridden by William Carver. Trained by Ross Burdon.
16:50 Southwell (AW)
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6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 13 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stInsuspense (GB)William Carver·Ross Burdon7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndWillolarupi (IRE)Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 1.25 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdJesse Luc (GB)Callum Shepherd·Mike Murphy·beaten 1.25 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
1m 15.14s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Insuspense (GB))
“Settled towards the back - closed under pressure a furlong out - hit the front inside the last - kept finding more to the line”
AI top-rated Preferred (score 50.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.14.34 score
Willolarupi
5.20Smarkets
segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6
Each-way49.4/100 rating
Von Krolock
10.50Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Staniel Cay
Staniel Cay heads this competitive thirteen-runner Class 6 sprint at Southwell on the all-weather narrowly ahead of Willolarupi on our assessments, and it is that rival who represents the most obvious threat alongside the likes of Bill Plumb and Zarinca, both rated just a couple of pounds adrift. The six-furlong standard surface suits a horse of Staniel Cay's profile, and with a small but genuine edge at the top of the ratings, there is enough here to make a case that he can get his head in front. The selection is Staniel Cay.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Preferred
David Probert · James Tate · 3yo
Top-rated of 13
score 50.0 · +0.6 clear of next best (49.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight53averageJames Tate: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
- Form20% weight50averageLast 6: 4-3-4
- Ratings50% weight42below averageOR 63
MarketBest price 40.00 (Smarkets) · 11th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.09
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.96
High (11–14)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: William Carver · T: Ross Burdon · draw 11 4yo · F · bt | 222753 | 61 | 40.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | Willolarupiv1.1 J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 3 5yo · G · b | 55345 | 64 | 43.3 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: Mike Murphy · draw 6 6yo · G · btp | 353676 | 62 | 36.1 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Edward Bethell · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 165476 | 62 | 43.4 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 14 3yo · F · bh | 434 | 63 | 50.0 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 541345 | 65 | 38.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 9 3yo · G · b | 2769 | 65 | 32.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 7 4yo · G · bp | 883954 | 57 | 35.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 9 | 13 | J: Luke Morris · T: Alan Brown · draw 8 9yo · G · bb | 756303 | 57 | 36.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: James Owen · draw 4 7yo · G · bb | 231621 | 63 | 49.4 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 11 | 1 | J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 10 7yo · G · btp | 36860 | 65 | 33.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 12 | 11 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 13 4yo · F · b | 19864 | 60 | 36.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 13 | 14 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 12 3yo · G · ch | 05887 | 57 | 37.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5 5yo · G · b | 077525 | 62 | 35.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Preferred) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Insuspense (GB) (8.00), 2. Willolarupi (IRE) (4.00), 3. Jesse Luc (GB) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 15.14s.
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