Who won the 19:15 Wolverhampton (AW) on 18 September 2026?
Lilly Lux (FR) won the 19:15 Wolverhampton (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Callum Shepherd. Trained by George Baker.
19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)
Cardway Cartons Box Designer Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m1½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £3,978 · Friday, 18 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stLilly Lux (FR)Callum Shepherd·George Baker9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndRenesmee (GB)Kyle McHugh·Michael Keady·beaten .5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdEvening Fades (GB)AI top pick · 52.9Darragh Keenan·William Haggas·beaten 3.75 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 58.15s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lilly Lux (FR))
“Set the pace from the off - pushed on into the advantage two furlongs out and soon opened a three-length margin - eased up in the closing stages - kept the chasing runner comfortably at bay to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.90 score
Evening Fades
7.00Smarkets
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way52.9/100 rating
Evening Fades
7.00Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Renesmee
Renesmee holds a narrow edge over the field on our figures, sitting a couple of pounds clear of Lilly Lux, and over a mile and a quarter on Wolverhampton's all-weather surface she looks capable of making that small advantage count. Lilly Lux is the most obvious threat and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Little Miss India and Speculative are capable of making things competitive if the pace suits them. The selection's superiority over the remainder of the field, however modest, gives her a sound enough platform to win this Class 5 contest. Renesmee is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Evening Fades
Darragh Keenan · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 52.9 · +2.1 clear of next best (50.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight58averageWilliam Haggas: 16/70 winners last 14d (23%)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 6-4-4-2-3
- Ratings50% weight40below averageOR 60
MarketBest price 7.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m1½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.96
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.12
High (7–8)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Callum Shepherd · T: George Baker · draw 1 5yo · M · bay f. | 26423 | 70 | 50.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Michael Keady · draw 7 6yo · M · bp | 260658 | 68 | 40.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | Evening Fadesv1.1 J: Darragh Keenan · T: William Haggas · draw 5 3yo · F · bt | 64423 | 60 | 52.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 8 5yo · M · bp | 141850 | 70 | 40.8 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 4 3yo · F · bp | 856421 | 64 | 46.2 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ian Williams · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 645336 | 58 | 42.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 74895 | 63 | 33.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Jack Mitchell · T: T. J. Kent · draw 2 3yo · F · bp | 47243 | 64 | 41.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Evening Fades) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Lilly Lux (FR) (5.50), 2. Renesmee (GB) (10.00), 3. Evening Fades (GB) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 58.15s.
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