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1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 5 runners · £3,195 · Thursday, 27 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Captain Cairney (GB)
    David Probert·William Muir & Chris Grassick
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Currumbin (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·Michael Keady·beaten 1.5 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lordsbridge Grey (GB)AI top pick · 51.1
    Silvestre De Sousa·S Woods·beaten 5.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
3m 4.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Captain Cairney (GB))

Set the pace from the off - driven along and challenged inside final furlong - stayed on to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.89 score
Lordsbridge Grey
7.00Hollywood Bets

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Currumbin

Currumbin arrives here on a progressive profile that makes the bare ratings slightly misleading, and a fitness edge over some of these rivals could prove decisive over this testing fourteen-furlong trip on the Southwell sand. Lordsbridge Grey sits narrowly ahead on ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Nanny Park and Captain Cairney also make the shortlist of dangers in what is an open enough Class 6 affair. With confidence modest, Currumbin is nonetheless preferred on the grounds of upward trajectory and condition, and that combination may just be enough to see him home.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lordsbridge Grey

Silvestre De Sousa · S Woods · 4yo

Top-rated of 5
score 51.1 · +1.0 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    49d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    S Woods: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    37below average
    Last 6: 3-7-7-5-3
MarketBest price 1000.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.84
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–5)
IV 1.03

Today: Nanny Park (draw 4) and Captain Cairney (draw 3) get the bias; Lordsbridge Grey (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 117 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
3yo · G · chp
27251
6242.0
3/1·4.00
SP
22
J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Keady · draw 5
5yo · G · bh
30462
6236.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
31
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: S Woods · draw 2
4yo · G · grbFT B
37753
6551.1
9/2·5.50
SP
43
J: Jonny Peate · T: Sara Ender · draw 4
4yo · F · b
073106
6147.3
15/2·8.50
SP
55
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1
3yo · G · chtp
224194
6150.0
100/30·4.33
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 21:00 Southwell (AW) on 27 August 2026?

Captain Cairney (GB) won the 21:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by William Muir & Chris Grassick.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 21:00 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Lordsbridge Grey) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 21:00 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Captain Cairney (GB) (4.00), 2. Currumbin (IRE) (3.00), 3. Lordsbridge Grey (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 21:00 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 4.60s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org