Who won the 17:00 Newcastle (AW) on 1 October 2026?
Jujubella (IRE) won the 17:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Oisin Orr. Trained by Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore.
17:00 Newcastle (AW)
Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes
1m4½f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 11 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stJujubella (IRE)Oisin Orr·Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndJunkyard Dog (IRE)AI top pick · 50.9Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten 0.3 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdL'Eagle Aid (IRE)Rowan Scott·Charlie Johnston·beaten 1.5 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
Race time
2m 40.98s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Jujubella (IRE))
“In the pack's centre early - improved and pushed along over 2f out - hit the front over 1f out and kept battling to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.27 score
Mr Moonshine
3.50Paddy Power
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way50.9/100 rating
Junkyard Dog
7.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: L'Eagle Aid
L'Eagle Aid heads our ratings on 78, four pounds better than Jujubella and Mr Moonshine on 74, and that edge looks enough to make him the one to beat in this 12-furlong Class 5 at Newcastle. The pair on 74 are the obvious dangers, along with Clansman just behind on 73, while Moon Sniper and Molinari on 72 are also in the mix in a tightly packed contest. With the rest of the field rated 70 or below, L'Eagle Aid's superior figure gives him the most room for error over the trip on the all-weather. L'Eagle Aid gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Junkyard Dog
Andrew Mullen · Iain Jardine · 4yo
Top-rated of 11
score 50.9 · +4.1 clear of next best (46.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong28d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 8-9-2-1-4
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Trainer20% weight33weakIain Jardine: 5/38 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Smarkets) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.90
High (9–11)
IV 1.02
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 2 5yo · M · bp | 532302 | 66 | 45.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 9 4yo · G · bv | 89214 | 68 | 50.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1 5yo · G · bp | 353363 | 70 | 46.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | Mr Moonshinev1.1 J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 11 3yo · G · grp | 523310 | 70 | 46.4 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4 4yo · F · grb | 38688 | 70 | 38.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 10 3yo · F · btp | 175688 | 64 | 36.2 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Susan Corbett · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 639905 | 61 | 40.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Liam Bailey · draw 7 8yo · G · b | 133107 | 70 | 46.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 8 7yo · M · b | 333168 | 55 | 37.1 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: William Pyle · T: Jessica Bedi · draw 3 4yo · G · btpFirst after wind op | 43356 | 70 | 37.4 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| PU | 8 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Martin Todhunter · draw 6 9yo · G · gr | 04860 | 63 | 32.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Junkyard Dog) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 17:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Jujubella (IRE) (7.50), 2. Junkyard Dog (IRE) (5.50), 3. L'Eagle Aid (IRE) (3.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 40.98s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org