18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 37m14:30Gowran Park

14:30 Gowran Park

Off in 37mIreland

Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle

3m · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 11 runners · €15,000 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 66.4 · +2.7 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Cobra Queen advised 11/2·6.60 (Smarkets), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
v1.11.66 score
Butter Fingers
8.00Smarkets

segment +7.7% · Hurdle · Good To Yielding ·

Each-way66.4/100 rating
Cobra Queen
7.00Smarkets

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Born BraverDiffers from our pick

Born Braver heads our ratings on 127 and gets the nod in this big 13-runner staying contest at Gowran Park, though only a pound clear of Mordor on 126, so the margin is narrow. Mordor is the chief danger, with Moonovercloon on 123 and Fad Eadrainn on 121 also firmly in the picture, and the testing soft ground over three miles will make stamina decisive. With the top of the field so tightly packed our confidence is low, but Born Braver is the best of them on the figures and gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Cobra Queen

Alan O'Sullivan(5) · Henry de Bromhead · 7yo

Top-rated of 13
score 66.4 · +2.7 clear of next best (63.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    83very strong
    OR 124 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: P-8-3-3-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    13weak
    Henry de Bromhead: 3/55 winners last 14d (5%)
MarketBest price 7.00 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
7yo · M · bpGoing 1/2Only ride
P8331
12466.413/2·7.407·7.00
Smarkets · -5% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: Michael Kenneally · T: Declan Queally · draw 0 · combo 1/10 (10%)
9yo · G · bvOnly runner
470PF
11363.712/1·13.4612·12.00
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
4
J: Paddy Cleary(7) · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 · combo 0/15 (0%)
6yo · G · bOnly ride
12083
12462.316/1·17.4916.5·16.50
Smarkets · -6% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: Simon Torrens · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%)
8yo · G · btpOnly runner
0P354
12460.310/1·11.4410·10.00
Smarkets · -13% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
13
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0 · combo 6/57 (11%)
9yo · G · btDGoing 2/2
051341
10560.17/1·8.076.4·6.40
Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
9
J: Shane Markey(7) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 0 · combo 1/26 (4%)
5yo · G · gOnly ride
36172
11158.817/2·9.428·8.00
Smarkets · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
—
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0 · combo 9/102 (9%)
8yo · G · bp
2010P
12856.228/1·30.9522/1·23.00
Paddy Power · -26% vs fair
Compare 21 books ▾
5
J: Richard Condon(5) · T: Paul Hennessy · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%)
7yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner
123P6
12055.620/1·20.1918·18.00
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
7
J: Donagh Meyler · T: Noel Meade · draw 0 · combo 1/13 (8%)
7yo · G · b
4840
11655.217/2·9.428.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
6
J: Alex Harvey · T: John McConnell · draw 0 · combo 6/70 (9%)
8yo · G · bOnly ride
06816
11954.320/1·20.1918.5·18.50
Smarkets · -8% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
—
J: Ricky Doyle · T: Eoin Griffin · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%)
9yo · G · bhbOnly pairing
3121R
11053.133/1·34.9928/1·29.00
Unibet · -17% vs fair
Compare 18 books ▾
10
7yo · M · bpOnly rideOnly runner
1434P
11051.022/1·22.8823·23.00
Smarkets
Compare 27 books ▾
12
J: Conor Smithers(7) · T: S G Carey · draw 0
6yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
4U478
10849.917/2·9.4212.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · +33% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 18–27 bookmakers per horse with the 35% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle?

The Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle is off at 14:30 on 3 October 2026 at Gowran Park (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:30 Gowran Park?

3m, Hurdle, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:30 Gowran Park?

Going is reported as Good To Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:30 Gowran Park?

The AI top-rated runner is Cobra Queen (score 66.4, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:30 Gowran Park?

The market favourite is Smallcraftwarning at a best price of 6.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Cobra Queen.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org