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1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 8/11F·1.73
  1. 1st
    Fallacious Promise (GB)AI top pick · 54.5
    Luke Morris·John Butler
    8/11F·1.73
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Henfield (GB)
    Robert Havlin·Karen Jewell·beaten 3.75 lengths
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Athenian Spirit (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·William Knight·beaten 2.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 38.89s+3.99s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Fallacious Promise (GB))

Settled towards back - improved position out wide 2f out - upsides the pace-setter without effort over 1f out - shortly in front - kicked away entering last furlong and scored comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.73 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.13.07 score
Moravian
11.00SmarketsSBK

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way50.0/100 rating
Whazzimo
5.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Fallacious Promise

Luke Morris · John Butler · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 54.5 · +4.5 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    John Butler: 6/18 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 5-9-2-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    35below average
    OR 53
MarketBest price 3.00 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.77
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.11
High (8–10)
IV 1.15

Today: Fallacious Promise (draw 9) and Moravian (draw 8) get the bias; Whazzimo (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Luke Morris · T: John Butler · draw 9
3yo · G · b
59223
5354.5
8/11F·1.73
SP
28
J: Robert Havlin · T: Karen Jewell · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT P
58098
4627.0
22/1·23.00
SP
33
J: Hector Crouch · T: William Knight · draw 6
3yo · G · bp
62230
5443.7
7/2·4.50
SP
41
J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
6467
5432.6
25/1·26.00
SP
510
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 5
3yo · G · bh
09006
4526.5
50/1·51.00
SP
69
J: Georgia Dobie · T: Laura Mongan · draw 3
3yo · F · b
77854
4630.9
16/1·17.00
SP
74
J: William Carson · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 10
3yo · F · bp
87760
5430.2
14/1·15.00
SP
87
J: David Probert · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 8
3yo · F · ch
705
4839.5
22/1·23.00
SP
92
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Ferguson · draw 4
3yo · F · b
599
5450.0
17/2·9.50
SP
106
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 7
3yo · F · chtbFT TB
76860
5234.5
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:55 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?

Fallacious Promise (GB) won the 17:55 Lingfield (AW) at SP 1.73. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by John Butler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:55 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Fallacious Promise, won the race (AI score 54.5).

What were the placings in the 17:55 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Fallacious Promise (GB) (1.73), 2. Henfield (GB) (23.00), 3. Athenian Spirit (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:55 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 38.89s, 3.99s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org