Who won the 15:30 Bath on 26 May 2026?
Early Release (GB) won the 15:30 Bath at SP 8.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by David Evans.
15:30 Bath
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5½f · Flat · Class 5 · Firm · 5 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 26 May 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stEarly Release (GB)Rossa Ryan·David Evans15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndStrike (GB)Rob Hornby·Jonathan Portman·beaten 1 length11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdPhoenix Moon (IRE)AI top pick · 61.8George Bass·Denis Coakley·beaten 1 length9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 9.46s+1.86s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Early Release (GB))
“Taken down early - made all - set steady pace - increased tempo halfway - pushed along over 1f out - ridden and hung right inside final furlong - kept on final 110yds - unchallenged”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.1-1.26 score
Obsidian Dream
7.00Bet365
segment +27.6% · Flat · Firm · Class 5
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Tuscan Point
Neither Early Release nor TUSCAN POINT have won on turf but they still appeal as the two to focus on this time.
Forecast 7/4 Tuscan Point, 11/4 Phoenix Moon, 4/1 Obsidian Dream, 9/2 Strike, 7/1 Early Release
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Phoenix Moon
George Bass · Denis Coakley · 5yo
Top-rated of 5
score 61.8 · +1.0 clear of next best (60.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Denis Coakley: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 2-4-1-4-2
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 64 · RPR 84 · TS 63
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 5½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.12
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 0.81
Today: Early Release (draw 2) and Strike (draw 1) get the bias; Phoenix Moon (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Evans · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 08167 | 68 | 50.3 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 1 8yo · G · gr | 63283 | 68 | 49.9 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 5 5yo · M · gr | 24142 | 64 | 61.8 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 3 4yo · G · btp | 125212 | 73 | 60.8 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | Obsidian Dreamv1.1 J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 4 4yo · G · br | 4563 | 74 | 40.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Phoenix Moon) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:30 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Early Release (GB) (8.50), 2. Strike (GB) (2.38), 3. Phoenix Moon (IRE) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:30 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 9.46s, 1.86s slower than standard.
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