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19:16 Worcester

Martin Keighley Racing Club Handicap Hurdle Race (Div I)

2m4f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £3,248 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Idaho Fire (IRE)
    Jonathan Burke·James Owen
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mancero (FR)
    Jack Tudor·David Pipe·beaten 3.75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Play Pretend (IRE)
    Lee Edwards·Dave Roberts·beaten 11 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
4m 58.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Idaho Fire (IRE))

set out in front from the start - was asked for effort before 3 out - jumped awkwardly 2 out - was driven approaching the last - found more and drifted right to win going away

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.1-1.82 score
Estacas
6.00Bet365

segment +6.2% · Hurdle · Good · Class 5

Each-way62.4/100 rating
Estacas
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Little Ledgend

Little Ledgend is preferred at Worcester, edged in front of the head of our ratings on a fitness advantage and the more solid book of recent form. Idaho Fire has the strongest figure in the race and cannot be discounted, while Estacas and Play Pretend add further alternative claims to a genuinely competitive nine-runner field. Confidence in the selection is low, reflecting how tightly this one is rated between the principals.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Little Ledgend

Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy · 6yo

Top-rated of 9
score 68.2 · +2.3 clear of next best (65.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 4-2-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    68strong
    OR 102
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    trainer 14-day form unknown
MarketBest price 3.25 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Jonathan Burke · T: James Owen · draw 0
5yo · G · b
7PP3
10355.9
6/4F·2.50
SP
28
J: Jack Tudor · T: David Pipe · draw 0
4yo · G · bb
4241P
8959.5
7/2·4.50
SP
34
J: Lee Edwards · T: Dave Roberts · draw 0
5yo · G · b
22583
10060.7
2/1·3.00
SP
410
J: Brendan Powell · T: Tony Carroll · draw 0
7yo · G · b
P5P0
7845.7
22/1·23.00
SP
57
J: David Noonan · T: Tim Vaughan · draw 0
6yo · G · chtp
4P542
9258.6
7/1·8.00
SP
69
J: Harry Reed · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0
6yo · G · b
000U6
8045.0
40/1·41.00
SP
J: Sean Bowen · T: Olly Murphy · draw 0
6yo · G · btpFT TP
42232
10268.2
9yo · G · bp
8823
9762.4
J: Kielan Woods · T: Alex Hales · draw 0
7yo · M · bt
25463
9861.4
J: Callum Pritchard · T: Ben Pauling · draw 0
7yo · G · ch
41272
10565.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:16 Worcester on 10 July 2026?

Idaho Fire (IRE) won the 19:16 Worcester at SP 2.50. Ridden by Jonathan Burke. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:16 Worcester?

No — the AI top pick (Little Ledgend) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:16 Worcester?

Top finishers: 1. Idaho Fire (IRE) (2.50), 2. Mancero (FR) (4.50), 3. Play Pretend (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:16 Worcester?

The winning time was 4m 58.21s.

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