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Next · 56m16:30Lingfield (AW)

16:30 Lingfield (AW)

Off in 56m

Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners · £3,245 · Monday, 17 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 44.2 · +0.7 clear of next best · best 4/5·1.80
Best value vs consensus
32·32.00 Matchbook · +9% vs fair (consensus 29.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 35 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

v1.13.81 score
Star Marian
7.80Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pure PassionAgrees with our pick

Pure Passion arrives at Lingfield with a progressive profile that makes her an attractive proposition despite sitting a few pounds below the top-rated pair on these ratings, and there is every reason to believe she has more to offer than her current figure suggests. Star Marian heads the field on ratings and must be respected, while Dusk Damsel and Saeculamation will also make their presence felt over this sharp five furlongs on the all-weather surface. Pure Passion is our selection to reward each-way supporters with a bold showing on what promises to be a competitive Class 6 sprint.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Pure Passion

Jack Doughty · Stuart Williams · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 44.2 · +0.7 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    4d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 4-3-0-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 54 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Stuart Williams: 4/30 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 1.80 (PricedUp Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.96
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.03
High (5–6)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Jack Doughty · T: Stuart Williams · draw 2 · combo 1/13 (8%)
3yo · F · bD
43012
5444.210/11·1.894/5·1.80
PricedUp Bet · -5% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
1
J: Oisin Murphy · T: David Loughnane · draw 5
3yo · F · chbOnly runner
15805
5443.57/1·7.918.6·8.60
Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair
All 35 books ▾
3
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 3 · combo 3/7 (43%)
3yo · F · bbFT B
472059
5443.210/1·11.3012·12.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
4
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Adam Kirby · draw 4
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner
479
4633.412/1·13.5613.5·13.50
Matchbook
All 35 books ▾
6
3yo · G · bOnly runner
346683
4531.76/1·6.787.2·7.20
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 34 books ▾
5
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Michael Appleby · draw 6
3yo · F · grpFT POnly pairing
7087
4629.928/1·29.3832·32.00
Matchbook · +9% vs fair
All 35 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 34–35 bookmakers per horse with the 13% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes?

The Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes is off at 16:30 on 17 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Pure Passion (score 44.2, best price 1.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Pure Passion at a best price of 1.80.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org