Who won the 16:30 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?
Startling (GB) won the 16:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by John Wainwright.
16:30 Southwell (AW)
Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 6 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stStartling (GB)Jason Hart·John Wainwright1/1F·2.00SP
- 2ndMimime (IRE)Luke Morris·Michael Appleby·beaten 1.5 lengths40/1·41.00SP
- 3rdInvincible Crown (IRE)James Sullivan·Ruth Carr·beaten 2.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
57.36s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Startling (GB))
“Drifted right at the off - went straight to the front - driven and edged in front by a whisker 2f out - fought back gamely - urged 1f out - regained command 110yds out and kept going to the line”
AI top-rated What A Tahoo (score 46.2) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.13.19 score
Gwen Tennyson
11.50Matchbook
segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6
Each-way44.2/100 rating
Startling
6.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 2.25 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Startling
Startling holds a clear edge over this field on a five-furlong Southwell card, sitting seven pounds ahead of the nearest danger Invincible Crown and double figures clear of the majority of the seven runners, which gives the selection a comfortable buffer to work with. Invincible Crown, Bust A Moon and What A Tahoo represent the most credible threats and will need to run to the top of their form to close that gap, though at this level the task looks steep. Barring any unforeseen issues on the day, this looks a straightforward assignment, and the selection is Startling.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
What A Tahoo
Warren Fentiman(3) · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 46.2 · +2.0 clear of next best (44.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight75strongLast 6: 3-1-5-1-4-1
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56 — above field median
- Trainer20% weight28weakRichard & Peter Fahey: 6/54 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.96
High (6–7)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: John Wainwright · draw 1 4yo · F · bb | 322422 | 60 | 44.2 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 3yo · F · grp | 70873 | 45 | 34.4 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 421440 | 56 | 37.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Derek Shaw · draw 6 4yo · G · chh | 06035 | 46 | 31.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | Gwen Tennysonv1.1 J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 4 3yo · F · ch | 679263 | 49 | 35.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 315141 | 56 | 46.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Robert Cowell · draw 2 6yo · G · bp | 448666 | 45 | 34.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (What A Tahoo) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Startling (GB) (2.00), 2. Mimime (IRE) (41.00), 3. Invincible Crown (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 57.36s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org