18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
← All racecards
14:31

Bath

Great Britain

Broughton Transport The Mane Logistics Choice Apprentice Handicap Stakes

Wednesday, 15 July 2026

5½f·Flat·Class 5·7 runners·£4,187

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.059.9/100 rating
Saucy Jane
3.55Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way54.5/100 rating
Safari Dream
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Saucy Jane

Mason Paetel · Jack Morland · 3yo

59.9/100
+5.4 vs next best (54.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    Jack Morland: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 5-8-4-2-6-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
MarketBest price 3.55 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners

#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAIFairBest priceAdd to betslip
13
4yo · G · b
081671
9-127148.9
11/2·6.74
5·6.00SmarketsSBK
27
6yo · G · b
34175
9-127154.5
13/2·7.35
6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange
35
5yo · G · btv
373238
9-106947.0
8/1·9.19
8·9.00SmarketsSBK
42
3yo · C · chv
431372
9-107547.9
9/2·5.31
7/2·4.50Bet365
56
4yo · G · bpFT P
32345
9-086747.0
33/1·31.87
28/1·29.00Bet365
61
3yo · F · bp
584261
9-077259.9
3/1·3.98
3.55·3.55Betfair Exchange
74
3yo · F · b
57751
8-096045.2
13/2·7.35
5.5·6.50SmarketsSBK

Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 31 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Broughton Transport The Mane Logistics Choice Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The Broughton Transport The Mane Logistics Choice Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 14:31 on 15 July 2026 at Bath (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:31 Bath?

5½f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:31 Bath?

The AI top-rated runner is Saucy Jane (score 59.9, best price 3.55). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:31 Bath?

The market favourite is Saucy Jane at a best price of 3.55.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

In The City sits clear of this field on our figures despite an unbroken run of places rather than wins, finishing no worse than fifth in his last five starts, and the only knock is a 47-day layoff. Safari Dream, a winner three starts back, and Grey Horizon, second last time out and a winner of his own four starts back, look his sternest opposition, while Saucy Jane arrives in form having won last time out. In The City remains our selection on the strength of the gap in the figures.

Racing Post pick: In The City

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org