Who won the 14:31 Bath on 15 July 2026?
Grey Horizon (GB) won the 14:31 Bath at SP 4.50. Ridden by Christian Howarth. Trained by Scott Dixon.
14:31 Bath
Broughton Transport The Mane Logistics Choice Apprentice Handicap Stakes
5½f · Flat · Class 5 · Firm · 6 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 6thRace report
- 1stGrey Horizon (GB)Christian Howarth·Scott Dixon7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndMerrimack (GB)Chloe Lyons·Stuart Williams·beaten 1 length5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdSafari Dream (IRE)Charlie Tucker·Rod Millman·beaten .75 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
Race time
1m 8.93s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Grey Horizon (GB))
“led from the start - driven over 1f out and again inside the final furlong - finished strongly”
AI top-rated Saucy Jane (score 59.9) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.10.17 score
Saucy Jane
3.55Betfair Exchange
segment +27.6% · Flat · Firm · Class 5
Each-way55.5/100 rating
Safari Dream
6.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: In The City
In The City sits clear of this field on our figures despite an unbroken run of places rather than wins, finishing no worse than fifth in his last five starts, and the only knock is a 47-day layoff. Safari Dream, a winner three starts back, and Grey Horizon, second last time out and a winner of his own four starts back, look his sternest opposition, while Saucy Jane arrives in form having won last time out. In The City remains our selection on the strength of the gap in the figures.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Saucy Jane
Mason Paetel · Jack Morland · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 59.9 · +4.4 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Jack Morland: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 5-8-4-2-6-1
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72
MarketBest price 3.55 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Bath 5½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.12).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.12
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 0.81
Today: Saucy Jane (draw 1) and Grey Horizon (draw 2) get the bias; Safari Dream (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 187 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Christian Howarth · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2 3yo · C · chv | 431372 | 75 | 52.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Chloe Lyons(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 5 5yo · G · btv | 373238 | 69 | 47.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Rod Millman · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 34175 | 71 | 55.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Liam Wright · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 57751 | 60 | 44.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: David Evans · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 081671 | 71 | 48.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | Saucy Janev1.1 J: Mason Paetel · T: Jack Morland · draw 1 3yo · F · bp | 584261 | 72 | 59.9 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| — | — | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 6 4yo · G · bpFT P | 32345 | 67 | 45.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:31 Bath?
No — the AI top pick (Saucy Jane) finished 6.
What were the placings in the 14:31 Bath?
Top finishers: 1. Grey Horizon (GB) (4.50), 2. Merrimack (GB) (6.00), 3. Safari Dream (IRE) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:31 Bath?
The winning time was 1m 8.93s.
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