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Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,711 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Balon D'or (GB)
    Paddy Bradley·Simon Dow
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Happier (IRE)AI top pick · 57.6
    Toby Moore·Martin Keighley·beaten 0.2 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dashing Donkey (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·William Stone·beaten 0.3 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 10.23s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Balon D'or (GB))

“Set the pace throughout - driven with two furlongs left and asked for more with one to go as a rival loomed - dug in to prevail by a whisker”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.49 score
Alashos
8.20Smarkets

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Happier

Happier heads this ten-runner Class 6 sprint at Lingfield on the all-weather level with Balon d'Or on our assessments, and the pair are just 2lb ahead of the next group on the figures, giving the selection a share of top billing in the ratings. Balon d'Or is the obvious threat and cannot be dismissed, while Express Train and Peregrine Falcon are close enough on the figures to make the race competitive if either runs to their ceiling. That said, Happier's position at the top of the ratings in a field where the tail drops away sharply makes a compelling case for confidence, and a standard surface over six furlongs at Lingfield looks an ideal setting. The selection is Happier.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Happier

Toby Moore(7) · Martin Keighley · 6yo

Top-rated of 9
score 57.6 · +1.7 clear of next best (55.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Martin Keighley: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 0-4-9-6-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.03
High (8–10)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 1
5yo · G · bp
76484
5835.4
7/2·4.50
SP
23
J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 5
6yo · M · b
049611
5557.6
3/1·4.00
SP
39
J: Jack Mitchell · T: William Stone · draw 4
5yo · G · b
05049
5531.9
5/2F·3.50
SP
48
J: Jason Watson · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 2
6yo · G · bv
807762
5633.7
10/1·11.00
SP
52
J: Jonny Peate · T: Richard Phillips · draw 3
4yo · G · b
63907
6033.1
25/1·26.00
SP
65
8yo · G · bp
71906
5840.3
40/1·41.00
SP
71
J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 10
6yo · G · bb
263760
6032.9
9/1·10.00
SP
84
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 8
4yo · F · b
23536
5938.0
14/1·15.00
SP
97
J: Charles Bishop · T: Chris Gordon · draw 7
4yo · G · bp
448147
5755.9
15/2·8.50
SP
——
J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 6
8yo · G · bp
045455
4628.9—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:52 Lingfield (AW) on 18 August 2026?

Balon D'or (GB) won the 17:52 Lingfield (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Paddy Bradley. Trained by Simon Dow.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Happier) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Balon D'or (GB) (4.50), 2. Happier (IRE) (4.00), 3. Dashing Donkey (GB) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 10.23s.

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