17:52 Lingfield (AW)

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £4,711 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (10 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Happier

No. 3 · score 57.6 · +1.7 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.65

Best value vs consensus

Diamond Dreamer

12.5·12.50 Betfair Exchange · +23% vs fair (consensus 10.21)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Happier advised 5/2·3.50 (Smarkets), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.9/100 rating

Alashos

8.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: HappierAgrees with our pick

Happier heads this ten-runner Class 6 sprint at Lingfield on the all-weather level with Balon d'Or on our assessments, and the pair are just 2lb ahead of the next group on the figures, giving the selection a share of top billing in the ratings. Balon d'Or is the obvious threat and cannot be dismissed, while Express Train and Peregrine Falcon are close enough on the figures to make the race competitive if either runs to their ceiling. That said, Happier's position at the top of the ratings in a field where the tail drops away sharply makes a compelling case for confidence, and a standard surface over six furlongs at Lingfield looks an ideal setting. The selection is Happier.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Happier

Toby Moore(7) · Martin Keighley · 6yo

Top-rated of 10

score 57.6 · +1.7 clear of next best (55.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Martin Keighley: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
70strong
6d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
61average
Last 6: 0-4-9-6-1-1
Ratings50% weight
37below average
OR 55

MarketBest price 3.65 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
6Balon d'Or 7Alashos 9Dashing Donkey
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(2)
1Diamond Dreamer 3Happier
Hold-up / closers(2)
4Peregrine Falcon Porfin
Unknown(3)
2Express Train 5Big Bard 8Due Date

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–7)

IV 1.03

High (8–10)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	HappierPick J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 5 6yo · M · bOn last winning markGoing 1/2Only rideOnly runner	049611	9-09	55	—	—	57.6	3/1·4.15	3.65·3.65 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.65·3.65 SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60Smarkets3.6·3.60Matchbook3.5·3.50Spreadex9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25Bet MGM9/4·3.25Star Sports9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25William Hill9/4·3.25 Unibet85/40·3.13 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 7Bet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 BresBet2/1·3.00 talkSPORT BET2/1·3.00
7	Alashos J: Charles Bishop · T: Chris Gordon · draw 7 4yo · G · bp	448147	9-06	57	—	—	55.9	17/2·9.57	7/1·8.00 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00Bet MGM7/1·8.00Matchbook8·8.00Coral7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00Smarkets7.6·7.60Star Sports13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50BetTom13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 7Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50
5	Big Bard J: Jude Fernandes(7) · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 9 · combo 3/24 (13%) 8yo · G · bp	71906	9-07	58	—	—	40.3	18/1·19.14	24·24.00 Smarkets · +25% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Smarkets24·24.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Matchbook20·20.00Betfair Exchange19·19.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetTom14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Bet MGM14/1·15.0010 Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00
4	Peregrine Falcon J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 8 4yo · F · b	23536	9-08	59	—	—	38.0	20/1·21.69	21·21.00 Matchbook · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook21·21.00Smarkets20·20.00Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Paddy Power18/1·19.00Bet MGM18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00
6	Balon d'Or J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 1 · combo 3/15 (20%) 5yo · G · bp	76484	9-07	58	—	—	35.4	15/2·8.29	13/2·7.50 Betfred · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfred13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Bet MGM6/1·7.00Coral6/1·7.00Virgin Bet11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Smarkets6·6.00Betfair Exchange5.9·5.90Matchbook3.95·3.95
8	Due Date J: Jason Watson · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 2 6yo · G · bvOnly rideOnly runner	807762	9-05	56	—	—	33.7	14/1·15.31	14.5·14.50 Matchbook · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Coral11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Bet MGM11/1·12.00William Hill10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80
2	Express Train J: Jonny Peate · T: Richard Phillips · draw 3 4yo · G · b	63907	9-09	60	—	—	33.1	33/1·33.18	27·27.00 Matchbook · -19% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Bet MGM25/1·26.00Bet36525/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Paddy Power25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Midnite22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50
1	Diamond Dreamer J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 10 · combo 0/6 (0%) 6yo · G · bbClass drop	263760	9-09	60	—	—	32.9	9/1·10.21	12.5·12.50 Betfair Exchange · +23% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Coral15/2·8.50Bet MGM15/2·8.50Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50Matchbook8·8.00William Hill7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00
9	Dashing Donkey J: Jack Mitchell · T: William Stone · draw 4 5yo · G · bOnly runner	05049	9-04	55	—	—	31.9	4/1·5.10	4.2·4.20 Betfair Exchange · -18% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Bet3653/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Coral3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00Smarkets4·4.00Betfair Sportsbook3/1·4.00Paddy Power3/1·4.00Bet MGM3/1·4.00Ladbrokes3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00Matchbook3.85·3.85Betano11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75 talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.7510 Bet11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Unibet5/2·3.50
—	Porfin J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 6 · combo 1/17 (6%) 8yo · G · bpOnly pairing	045455	8-09	46	—	—	28.9	20/1·21.69	16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet · -22% vs fair All 21 books ▾ Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00Bet MGM14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange14.5·14.50Matchbook5.2·5.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–30 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 17:52 on 18 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

6f, Class 6, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Happier (score 57.6, best price 3.65). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:52 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Happier at a best price of 3.65.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org