15:55 Lingfield (AW)

Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runners · £3,978 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (14 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Split Elevens

score 54.7 · +2.2 clear of next best

Drawn 13, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Starlight Sami

10/1·11.00 10 Bet · +8% vs fair (consensus 10.18)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way52.5/100 rating

Gunfighter

6.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Red Hat EagleDiffers from our pick

Red Hat Eagle is narrowly ahead of Starlight Sami and The Bitter Moose on our ratings, level with Dontspoilasale at the head of the field, and the clock lends credibility to the form that underpins that assessment, which is why the Eagle is preferred over the top-rated rival here. Dontspoilasale represents the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly at the same rating, while Starlight Sami and The Bitter Moose are close enough to make this a genuinely open contest across the top four. Confidence is limited in a thirteen-runner Class 5 on the Lingfield all-weather, and punters should be aware this is a tentative lean rather than a strong conviction. Red Hat Eagle is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Split Elevens

Charles Bishop · John Butler · 8yo

Top-rated of 13

score 54.7 · +2.2 clear of next best (52.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
74strong
Last 6: 5-4-1-2-4-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
7d since last run (quick turnaround)
Trainer20% weight
63average
John Butler: 6/24 winners last 14d (25%)
Ratings50% weight
41below average
OR 61

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
Sant Alessio
Prominent(5)
1Red Hat Eagle 2Bold Suitor 3The Bitter Moose 10Starlight Sami 12Yachtsman
Mid-division(5)
4Dancing Rinca 5Gunfighter 13Powder Monkey 14Paranjape Split Elevens
Hold-up / closers(1)
9Dontspoilasale
Unknown(2)
7State Of Madness 8Double Time

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–5)

IV 0.77

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.11

High (11–14)

IV 1.15

Today: Split Elevens (draw 13) and Paranjape (draw 12) get the bias; State Of Madness (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
—	Split ElevensPick J: Charles Bishop · T: John Butler · draw 13 8yo · G · bOn last winning markC&DGoing 1/4Only pairing	541241	9-06	61	—	—	54.7	—	—
14	Paranjape J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: S Woods · draw 12 3yo · G · bpFT P	52746	9-04	68	—	—	52.5	10/1·11.01	14.5·14.50 Matchbook · +32% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook14.5·14.50Smarkets13·13.00SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 Bet3658/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 7Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Star Sports13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00
5	Gunfighter J: Pat Dobbs · T: John Butler · draw 10 5yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/3Only pairing	07917	9-10	69	—	—	52.5	6/1·6.88	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 7Bet9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Midnite4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50
—	Sant Alessio J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Joe Tickle · draw 14 5yo · G · bOnly runner	21074	9-09	68	—	—	51.2	28/1·28.89	22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet · -20% vs fair All 22 books ▾ Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Paddy Power22/1·23.00 Betfair Exchange22·22.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00William Hill20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Betfred18/1·19.00Matchbook4.9·4.90
7	State Of Madness J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 5 · combo 0/6 (0%) 5yo · G · b	934524	9-08	67	—	—	48.8	6/1·6.88	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Smarkets6.2·6.20SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.5010 Bet4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 BetMGM4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33
13	Powder Monkey J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Boughey · draw 2 · combo 2/10 (20%) 3yo · G · chClass drop	2356	9-05	69	—	—	45.9	10/1·11.01	9.8·9.80 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook9.8·9.80Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50Smarkets9.2·9.20SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 William Hill15/2·8.50 Unibet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00BetMGM7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50 BresBet6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50
9	Dontspoilasale J: Tom Queally · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6 6yo · G · b	746766	9-07	66	—	—	40.7	40/1·39.90	50·50.00 Matchbook · +25% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.007Bet30/1·31.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BresBet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00Virgin Bet25/1·26.0010 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00
3	The Bitter Moose J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 3 · combo 0/8 (0%) 5yo · G · bvOnly pairing	04033	9-10	69	—	—	39.9	12/1·13.76	12/1·13.00 BetTom · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00Matchbook10.5·10.50Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00Star Sports9/1·10.00Smarkets9.8·9.80talkSPORT BET17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Unibet17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50
12	Yachtsman J: Jason Watson · T: Jack Morland · draw 8 3yo · G · btOnly runner	347149	9-05	69	—	—	39.6	16/1·17.89	19·19.00 Matchbook · +6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook19·19.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50Smarkets16.5·16.50SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Midnite12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betano11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 BresBet11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betfred10/1·11.00
2	Bold Suitor J: Georgia Dobie · T: Craig Benton · draw 9 · combo 0/14 (0%) 9yo · G · bbClass dropOnly runner	42157	9-11	70	—	—	39.6	40/1·39.90	55·55.00 Matchbook · +38% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.007Bet35/1·36.00 Paddy Power35/1·36.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00BetMGM33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Betano28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 BresBet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00 talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange22·22.00
10	Starlight Sami J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 4 · combo 1/17 (6%) 3yo · G · chDOnly runner	83107	9-06	70	—	—	38.6	9/1·10.18	10/1·11.00 10 Bet · +8% vs fair All 30 books ▾ 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 7Bet7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 BresBet7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00Matchbook7.8·7.80Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00Smarkets7·7.00Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Betano11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50
4	Dancing Rinca J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Hayley Burton · draw 1 7yo · G · bpFT POnly runner	68596	9-10	69	—	—	36.4	22/1·23.39	22·22.00 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook22·22.00Betfair Exchange19.5·19.50 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00Smarkets18·18.00Betfred16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00William Hill16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00
8	Double Time J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Tim Vaughan · draw 11 8yo · G · bhtOnly runner	14670	9-07	66	—	—	36.1	33/1·35.77	33/1·34.00 BetWright · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ BetWright33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00Matchbook26·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00Smarkets25·25.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Midnite22/1·23.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Unibet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50
1	Red Hat Eagle J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 7 · combo 3/20 (15%) 6yo · G · btpClass drop	755475	9-11	70	—	—	36.0	6/1·6.88	5.8·5.80 Matchbook · -16% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Matchbook5.8·5.80Smarkets5.7·5.70Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 Coral9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 BetTom4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 22–30 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes?

The Follow @attheraces On X Handicap Stakes is off at 15:55 on 20 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:55 Lingfield (AW)?

7f, Class 5, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:55 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:55 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Split Elevens (score 54.7). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:55 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Red Hat Eagle at a best price of 5.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Split Elevens.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org