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Next · 10m16:40Kelso

16:40 Kelso

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Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

2m5f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £4,225 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 51.1 · +2.2 clear of next best · best 5/1·5.90
Best value vs consensus
8.6·8.60 Matchbook · +5% vs fair (consensus 8.19)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

v1.1-2.21 score
Valtteri Its James
5.50Betfair Exchange

segment +6.2% · Hurdle · Good · Class 5

Each-way51.1/100 rating
Helsgetaway
5.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: My My My DelilahDiffers from our pick

My My My Delilah is our selection, and she heads the figures on 98, a clear seven pounds ahead of the trio on 91 in this eight-runner Class 5 over 21 furlongs on good ground. That is a worthwhile edge in a staying contest where the gap between top and the next group is the most telling feature of the line-up. The main dangers are Helsgetaway, Theirshegoes and Lone Star, who are all rated level on 91 and make this far from a formality, so confidence is low. Even so, the best-rated runner is the one to side with, and the pick is My My My Delilah.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Helsgetaway

Gregor Walkingshaw(10) · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · 7yo

Top-rated of 8
score 51.1 · +2.2 clear of next best (48.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    133d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: F-4-0-3-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore: 3/28 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 5.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Gregor Walkingshaw(10) · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 0 · combo 0/18 (0%)
7yo · G · chp
F4033
9251.15/1·5.855.9·5.90
Betfair Exchange
Compare 29 books ▾
5
J: Murray Dodd · T: W Coltherd · draw 0
6yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
94P64
8148.97/1·8.198.6·8.60
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
8
J: Dominic Hislop(5) · T: Lisa Harrison · draw 0
11yo · G · b
U28448
7546.78/1·8.778.2·8.20
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
2
J: Leah Noreci(5) · T: Sandy Thomson · draw 0
9yo · M · bOnly ride
57827
9046.414/1·14.0413·13.00
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Oscar Palmer(3) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 0
9yo · M · btOnly rideOnly runner
543746
8846.011/2·6.436.4·6.40
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: Jack Power · T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · draw 0 · combo 1/10 (10%)
5yo · G · bOnly ride
6674P
8544.19/2·5.265.4·5.40
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Charlie Maggs · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 0
9yo · G · btbOnly rideOnly runner
90772
7642.011/2·6.435.8·5.80
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Conor Rabbitt · T: William Young Jnr · draw 0
5yo · M · chOnly runner
60BP6
7934.950/1·47.96110·110.00
Matchbook · +129% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race?

The Join Racing Tv Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 16:40 on 4 October 2026 at Kelso (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:40 Kelso?

2m5f, Class 5, Hurdle, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:40 Kelso?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:40 Kelso?

The AI top-rated runner is Helsgetaway (score 51.1, best price 5.90). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:40 Kelso?

The market favourite is Valtteri Its James at a best price of 5.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Helsgetaway.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org