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15:45 Uttoxeter

F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle Race

2m · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £3,697 · Sunday, 4 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 67.9 · +7.1 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.00
Best value vs consensus
Lucky Sevens (also top rated)
13·13.00 Matchbook · +25% vs fair (consensus 10.42)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way67.9/100 rating
Lucky Sevens
13.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: ZucayanDiffers from our pick

Zucayan heads our ratings at 105, five pounds clear of Raging Al and Promethean on 100, and that gives him a genuine edge in a Class 5 contest over two miles on good ground at Uttoxeter. The gap is a useful one rather than a vast one, but on our figures he has the most in hand of anything in the line-up. Raging Al and Promethean are the obvious dangers on level terms with one another, while Uncle Remus on 97 is close enough to take advantage if our pick fails to run to his best. This is a competitive field of eleven and confidence is only low, but Zucayan is the one to side with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lucky Sevens

Jonathan Burke · James Owen · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 67.9 · +7.1 clear of next best (60.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    36d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 100 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    James Owen: 6/40 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 13.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Jonathan Burke · T: James Owen · draw 0 · combo 12/52 (23%)
3yo · G · bpD
21
10067.99/1·10.4213·13.00
Matchbook · +25% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Sean Bowen · T: Olly Murphy · draw 0 · combo 17/78 (22%)
4yo · G · ch
68992
9060.89/2·5.515.8·5.80
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Brendan Powell · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 0 · combo 4/9 (44%)
5yo · G · brC&DGoing 1/3Only runner
98P51
8960.815/2·8.587.4·7.40
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 0 · combo 12/41 (29%)
5yo · G · grt
783F5
9357.910/1·11.039.4·9.40
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Nick Slatter(3) · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 0
9yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
22F78
9857.340/1·41.6746·46.00
Matchbook · +10% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
8
J: Harry Skelton · T: Dan Skelton · draw 0 · combo 70/221 (32%)
8yo · G · bt
53132
8756.49/2·5.514.8·4.80
Smarkets · -13% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
5
J: Luke Scott(3) · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 0 · combo 5/15 (33%)
6yo · G · bay f.pClass drop
3667
9155.714/1·14.7115·15.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
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2
J: Jack Tudor · T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero · draw 0 · combo 2/38 (5%)
4yo · F · btpDGoing 2/4
11491
9452.614/1·14.7119.5·19.50
Matchbook · +33% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
11
J: James Davies · T: Gary Hanmer · draw 0 · combo 3/17 (18%)
6yo · M · chtpC&DGoing 1/4
221734
8148.120/1·20.8318/1·19.00
Boyle Sports · -9% vs fair
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10
J: Richie McLernon · T: Clive Boultbee-Brooks · draw 0 · combo 0/7 (0%)
4yo · G · btp
03542
8247.710/1·11.039.6·9.60
Smarkets · -13% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: David Noonan · T: Tim Vaughan · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
5yo · G · bhtOnly rideOnly runner
70527
9241.728/1·28.1925/1·26.00
BetTom · -8% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle Race?

The F Ball Yellow Bucket Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 15:45 on 4 October 2026 at Uttoxeter (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:45 Uttoxeter?

2m, Class 5, Hurdle, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:45 Uttoxeter?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:45 Uttoxeter?

The AI top-rated runner is Lucky Sevens (score 67.9, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:45 Uttoxeter?

The market favourite is Berry Edge at a best price of 4.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lucky Sevens.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org