17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Mmb Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 5 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 25 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th

1st
Elite Approach (GB)
George Wood·Joey Ramsden
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
One Of The Boys (IRE)
Jack Callan·Michael Bell·beaten 1.25 lengths
1/1F·2.00
SP
3rd
Janora (IRE)
Shay Farmer·Seb Spencer·beaten .75 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP

Race time

1m 15.12s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Elite Approach (GB))

“Settled at the back - roused with 2f left - surged through strongest approaching the furlong pole - drew into contention then eased to the front inside the final furlong - won comfortably”

AI top-rated Brash (score 50.2) finished 4th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.12.85 score

Elite Approach

9.80Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Why the model rates this top

Brash

David Nolan · David & Nicola Barron · 3yo

Top-rated of 5

score 50.2 · +1.4 clear of next best (48.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
67strong
Last 6: 7-3-2-4-2-2
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 64
Trainer20% weight
28small sample (n=9)
David & Nicola Barron: 1/9 winners last 14d (11%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 4.10 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 1.02

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.88

High (5–5)

IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Elite Approachv1.1 J: George Wood · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 5 3yo · G · gr	44	9-07	—	—	—	17.5	13/2·7.50 SP
2	3	One of The Boys J: Jack Callan · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 3yo · G · b	2334	9-07	77	—	—	48.8	1/1F·2.00 SP
3	5	Janora J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Seb Spencer · draw 1 3yo · F · b	64	9-02	—	—	—	17.3	8/1·9.00 SP
4	1	Brash J: David Nolan · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 3 3yo · G · ch	732422	9-07	64	—	—	50.2	3/1·4.00 SP
5	4	Whatever Bruce J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 4 3yo · G · b	66	9-07	—	—	—	19.0	9/1·10.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) on 25 September 2026?

Elite Approach (GB) won the 17:45 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by George Wood. Trained by Joey Ramsden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Brash) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Elite Approach (GB) (7.50), 2. One Of The Boys (IRE) (2.00), 3. Janora (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 15.12s.

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