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17:05 Beverley

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Apprentice Handicap Stakes

2m · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 7 runners · £4,527 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 50.8 · +3.2 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.70
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way50.8/100 rating
Elemental Eye
4.70Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Elemental EyeAgrees with our pick

Elemental Eye heads the ratings narrowly ahead of Marbuzet on identical figures, but it is the subtle edge in overall profile that tilts the case in our selection's favour over this stiff sixteen-furlong trip on soft ground at Beverley, where stamina will be at a premium. Marbuzet represents the chief threat alongside Punxsutawney Phil, who sits two pounds adrift and will be battling to close the gap on this demanding surface, while Time Turner six pounds back completes the danger quartet. Elemental Eye looks well placed to see out this staying test and land the spoils.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Elemental Eye

Jack Nicholls · Iain Jardine · 5yo

Top-rated of 8
score 50.8 · +3.2 clear of next best (47.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    55d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 5-5-3-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Iain Jardine: 2/19 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 4.70 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Jack Nicholls · T: Iain Jardine · draw 5 · combo 8/22 (36%)
5yo · G · bbOnly runner
55312
6850.85/1·5.774.7·4.70
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Cian Horgan(3) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 7 · combo 1/20 (5%)
4yo · G · chbFT BOnly ride
194523
6347.67/1·7.996.6·6.60
Smarkets · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Alex Jary · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6
4yo · G · bbOnly ride
35234
5144.95/1·5.995.1·5.10
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Conor Whiteley(3) · T: Jack Jones · draw 2
4yo · F · bOnly runner
57923
6244.45/1·5.995.2·5.20
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3 · combo 8/62 (13%)
7yo · G · bp
24509
6737.714/1·15.9812/1·13.00
Bet365 · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Ethan Tindall(3) · T: Mark Walford · draw 4
6yo · G · chOnly pairing
23171
6237.325/1·25.3124·24.00
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: William Pyle · T: Simon West · draw 1
4yo · G · btvOnly runner
23674
5936.911/2·6.664/1·5.00
Dragon Bet · -25% vs fair
All 21 books ▾
7
J: Rhys Elliott(3) · T: Mark Walford · draw 8 · combo 1/15 (7%)
9yo · G · bOnly pairing
56870
5523.015/2·8.666.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -24% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–29 bookmakers per horse with the 33% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 17:05 on 30 August 2026 at Beverley (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:05 Beverley?

2m, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:05 Beverley?

Going is reported as Heavy on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:05 Beverley?

The AI top-rated runner is Elemental Eye (score 50.8, best price 4.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:05 Beverley?

The market favourite is Elemental Eye at a best price of 4.70.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org