19:30 Southwell (AW)

attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 21 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th

1st
Choreography (IRE)
Jamie Spencer·Michael Bell
11/2·6.50
SP
2nd
Sea Idol (GB)
Jack Gilligan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 0.2 lengths
28/1·29.00
SP
3rd
Guadalevin (IRE)
Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 0.2 lengths
9/4·3.25
SP

Race time

1m 32.11s+7.21s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Choreography (IRE))

“Prominent - switched to near side and pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led narrowly inside final 110yds - kept on - just did enough”

AI top-rated Crown Ranger (score 24.5) finished 6th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.13.19 score

Crown Ranger

3.50Bet365

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Guadalevin

The Charlie Fellowes 2yos have been going well, including first time up, so the suggestion in this field of newcomers is is GUADALEVIN.

Forecast 11/4 Crown Ranger, 3/1 Guadalevin, 4/1 Cash Cove, 9/2 Choreography, 5/1 Sea Idol, 12/1 Parioca

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Crown Ranger

Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 24.5 · +2.5 clear of next best (22.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Trainer20% weight
48below average
Marco Botti: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.96

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.04

High (5–6)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Choreography J: Jamie Spencer · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 2yo · C · b	—	9-05	—	—	—	17.5	11/2·6.50 SP
2	1	Sea Idol J: Jack Gilligan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 6 2yo · G · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	28/1·29.00 SP
3	4	Guadalevin J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 4 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	20.5	9/4·3.25 SP
4	5	Cash Cove J: Sean D Bowen · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2 2yo · F · b	—	8-11	—	—	—	22.0	17/2·9.50 SP
5	6	Parioca J: Hollie Doyle · T: Jack Morland · draw 5 2yo · F · bpFT P	—	8-08	—	—	—	20.0	9/1·10.00 SP
6	3	Crown Rangerv1.1 J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 2yo · C · b	—	9-05	—	—	—	24.5	5/4F·2.25 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) on 21 May 2026?

Choreography (IRE) won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jamie Spencer. Trained by Michael Bell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Crown Ranger) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Choreography (IRE) (6.50), 2. Sea Idol (GB) (29.00), 3. Guadalevin (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 32.11s, 7.21s slower than standard.

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