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19:30

Southwell (AW)

Great Britain

attheraces.com/marketmovers Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands A, B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Thursday, 21 May 2026

7f·Flat·Class 4·Standard·6 runners·£5,400
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Choreography (IRE)
    Jamie Spencer·Michael Bell
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sea Idol (GB)
    Jack Gilligan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 0.2 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Guadalevin (IRE)
    Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten 0.2 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
1m 32.11s+7.21s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Choreography (IRE))

Prominent - switched to near side and pressed leaders over 2f out - ridden over 1f out - led narrowly inside final 110yds - kept on - just did enough

AI top-rated Crown Ranger (score 24.5) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.024.5/100 rating
Crown Ranger
2.38Virgin Bet· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.13.19 score
Crown Ranger
3.50Bet365

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Racing Alpha pick

Crown Ranger

Marco Ghiani · Marco Botti · 2yo

24.5/100
+2.5 vs next best (22.0)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Marco Botti: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.38 (Virgin Bet) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
216
2yo · G · b
9-0715.0
28/1·29.00
SP
123
2yo · C · b
9-0517.5
11/2·6.50
SP
631
2yo · C · b
9-0524.5
5/4F·2.25
SP
344
2yo · F · b
9-0220.5
9/4·3.25
SP
452
2yo · F · b
8-1122.0
17/2·9.50
SP
565
2yo · F · bpFT P
8-0820.0
9/1·10.00
SP

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) on 21 May 2026?

Choreography (IRE) won the 19:30 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Jamie Spencer. Trained by Michael Bell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Crown Ranger) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Choreography (IRE) (6.50), 2. Sea Idol (GB) (29.00), 3. Guadalevin (IRE) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 19:30 Southwell (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 32.11s, 7.21s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

The Charlie Fellowes 2yos have been going well, including first time up, so the suggestion in this field of newcomers is is GUADALEVIN.

Racing Post pick: Guadalevin

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

11/4 Crown Ranger, 3/1 Guadalevin, 4/1 Cash Cove, 9/2 Choreography, 5/1 Sea Idol, 12/1 Parioca

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org