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Next · 37m14:30Gowran Park

17:35 Fontwell

Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

2m3f · Hurdle · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £3,696 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 66.0 · +2.6 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.00
Best value vs consensus
32·32.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 31.14)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: County Champs advised 9/2·5.40 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.
v1.10.79 score
Ghost Jury
11.00William Hill

segment +6.2% · Hurdle · Good · Class 5

Each-way66.0/100 rating
County Champs
5.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Winston's OathDiffers from our pick

Winston's Oath heads our ratings on 91, three pounds better than Lord Virginia, and that narrow edge is enough to make him the pick in a modest Class 5 over 19 furlongs at Fontwell. Lord Virginia is the chief danger on 88, while County Champs (82) and Ghost Jury (81) sit a little further back but could still be involved if the leader isn't at his best. The gap is slim and confidence is low, but Winston's Oath has the best figure in the field and is the one to side with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

County Champs

Freddie Gordon · Chris Gordon · 7yo

Top-rated of 9
score 66.0 · +2.6 clear of next best (63.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Chris Gordon: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92 — above field median
  • Form20% weight
    27weak
    Last 6: 8-2-2-P-F
MarketBest price 5.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Freddie Gordon · T: Chris Gordon · draw 0
7yo · G · ch
822PF
9266.04/1·5.195·5.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
5
J: James Davies · T: Simon Hodgson · draw 0
7yo · G · bpCOnly runner
P4641
7663.45/1·5.995.3·5.30
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
7
J: Sean Bowen · T: Kayley Woollacott · draw 0
7yo · M · gOnly runner
125263
7555.612/1·13.1713·13.00
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
8
J: Jack Stenhouse(7) · T: Carroll Gray · draw 0
8yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
8622P
7348.828/1·31.1432·32.00
Matchbook · +3% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
4
J: Jonathan Burke · T: James Owen · draw 0 · combo 11/51 (22%)
4yo · G · bvOnly rideOnly runner
63972
8046.85/2·3.593.6·3.60
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
1
J: Freddie Keighley(5) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 0 · combo 4/31 (13%)
5yo · G · bClass drop
43755
9345.911/1·11.9811.5·11.50
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
6
J: Ellis Collier(5) · T: Syd Hosie · draw 0 · combo 0/8 (0%)
4yo · F · bp
43474
7842.366/1·61.08100·100.00
Matchbook · +64% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾
9
J: Caoilin Quinn · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 0 · combo 2/13 (15%)
4yo · G · b
P675
7441.316/1·17.9618·18.00
Matchbook
Compare 29 books ▾
3
J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 · combo 1/11 (9%)
6yo · G · bhOnly pairing
70P9
8834.69/1·10.1810·10.00
Matchbook · -2% vs fair
Compare 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle?

The Attheraces.com Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle is off at 17:35 on 3 October 2026 at Fontwell (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:35 Fontwell?

2m3f, Class 5, Hurdle, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:35 Fontwell?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:35 Fontwell?

The AI top-rated runner is County Champs (score 66.0, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:35 Fontwell?

The market favourite is Winston's Oath at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — County Champs.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org