20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Off in 1h 22m

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)

1m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Nicely Curved

No. 6 · score 55.5 · +7.4 clear of next best · best 17/2·9.40

Best value vs consensus

Hammal

300·300.00 Smarkets · +4% vs fair (consensus 289.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Nicely Curved advised 7/1·8.00 (LiveScore Bet), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.13.06 score

African Spirit

3.95Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way55.5/100 rating

Nicely Curved

9.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Book of LifeDiffers from our pick

Book of Life arrives at Wolverhampton on a progressive profile that makes a compelling case for overlooking the top-rated Knightmare, who holds a narrow one-pound edge on paper but may lack the upward trajectory that gives our selection extra appeal over this all-weather mile. Knightmare, Dumfries and Spring will press hardest, and none can be dismissed lightly in a competitive Class 6 heat, but the direction of travel here points firmly to Book of Life continuing to improve. Book of Life is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Nicely Curved

Sean Dylan Bowen · Hayley Burton · 6yo

Top-rated of 9

score 55.5 · +7.4 clear of next best (48.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Hayley Burton: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
46d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 2-7-3-3-3-3
Ratings50% weight
31weak
OR 47

MarketBest price 9.40 (Matchbook) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
7Lhebayeb
Prominent(1)
8First Encounter
Mid-division(1)
6Nicely Curved
Hold-up / closers(5)
2Knightmare 3Dumfries 4African Spirit 9Hammal Book of Life
Unknown(1)
5Spring

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.96

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.12

High (7–9)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	Nicely CurvedPick J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Hayley Burton · draw 9 6yo · M · btpFT TPOnly runner	273333	9-01	47	—	—	55.5	10/1·10.80	9.4·9.40 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.4·9.40Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20Smarkets9.2·9.20SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.5010 Bet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Boyle Sports13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50
—	Book of Life J: Paddy Bradley · T: Patrick Morris · draw 4 · combo 1/13 (8%) 6yo · G · grp	527324	9-09	55	—	—	48.1	9/2·5.40	4.6·4.60 Matchbook · -15% vs fair Compare 20 books ▾ Matchbook4.6·4.60Betfair Exchange4.4·4.40 Coral11/4·3.75Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 10 Bet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 7Bet5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50BetMGM12/5·3.40
2	Knightmare J: Alexandra McDonnell(7) · T: David Evans · draw 8 · combo 0/6 (0%) 4yo · G · bbDOnly ride	221255	9-07	53	—	—	44.4	9/1·10.08	8.2·8.20 Betfair Exchange · -19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Matchbook8.2·8.20Smarkets8·8.00Spreadex13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50BetMGM13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 10 Bet6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Paddy Power6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50
3	Dumfries J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 5 · combo 11/129 (9%) 6yo · G · b	55443	9-05	51	—	—	43.9	11/2·6.48	5.3·5.30 Matchbook · -18% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook5.3·5.30Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20Smarkets5.2·5.20Betfred7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.507Bet10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Boyle Sports10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Paddy Power10/3·4.33 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 10 Bet11/4·3.75
4	African Spiritv1.1 J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 · combo 2/37 (5%) 5yo · G · btpOnly pairing	78333	9-05	51	—	—	39.1	9/4·3.24	2.36·2.36 Betfair Exchange · -27% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.36·2.36Matchbook2.36·2.36Smarkets2.34·2.34Bet3655/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25Betfair Sportsbook5/4·2.25Boyle Sports5/4·2.25Virgin Bet5/4·2.25BetMGM5/4·2.25 Coral5/4·2.25 Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 SportingIndex5/4·2.25 Spreadex5/4·2.25 Star Sports5/4·2.25 William Hill5/4·2.25 Paddy Power5/4·2.25 Ladbrokes5/4·2.25 SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25Hollywood Bets5/4·2.257Bet6/5·2.20 Midnite6/5·2.20 10 Bet6/5·2.20 BetTom6/5·2.20 Dragon Bet6/5·2.20 BetWright6/5·2.20 Unibet6/5·2.20 Bet Victor11/10·2.10 Betano11/10·2.10
5	Spring J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: Miss Celine De La Haye · draw 3 4yo · F · bt	756262	9-04	50	—	—	34.8	100/1·96.46	90·90.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook90·90.00Smarkets85·85.00Betfair Exchange80·80.00 SmarketsSBK70/1·71.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 William Hill66/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Star Sports66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 7Bet50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00
7	Lhebayeb J: Rose Dawes(3) · T: Richard Price · draw 2 8yo · M · bhOnly pairing	160944	9-01	47	—	—	28.4	18/1·18.72	18.5·18.50 Betfair Exchange Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00
8	First Encounter J: Luke Morris · T: John Gallagher · draw 6 · combo 0/8 (0%) 5yo · G · bbOnly runner	605408	9-00	44	—	—	26.5	10/1·10.80	10·10.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets10·10.00Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 10 Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50Hollywood Bets13/2·7.50BetMGM13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50
9	Hammal J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Max Young · draw 1 5yo · G · btpFT TPOnly runner	000960	9-00	44	—	—	24.4	250/1·289.38	300·300.00 Smarkets · +4% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets300·300.00Matchbook270·270.00Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Midnite200/1·201.00Hollywood Bets200/1·201.00Star Sports200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 William Hill200/1·201.00 Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Bet365200/1·201.00 Betfair Exchange190·190.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 Bet Victor150/1·151.00 BetMGM150/1·151.00 Betano150/1·151.00 SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 20–28 bookmakers per horse with the 44% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II) is off at 20:30 on 29 September 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

1m½f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Nicely Curved (score 55.5, best price 9.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is African Spirit at a best price of 2.36. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Nicely Curved.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org