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RacingAlpha

Quinnbet Extra Place Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Reformation (GB)
    Alistair Rawlinson·Andrew Balding
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hozam (IRE)
    William Pyle·Kevin & Lauren Frost·beaten 1 length
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    League Of Justice (USA)
    Conor Whiteley·Gemma Tutty·beaten 0.3 lengths
    66/1·67.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.75s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Reformation (GB))

Handy early - hit front with just over a furlong left - stayed on strongly to the line

AI top-rated Foxy Night (score 51.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.12.39 score
Hozam
4.80Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way27.1/100 rating
Regal Desire
7.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Foxy Night

Sam James · John Butler · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 51.5 · +14.0 clear of next best (37.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 4-3-3-2-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    John Butler: 1/17 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 4.30 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.06
High (7–9)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
3yo · G · b
1
37.5
11/10F·2.10
SP
24
Hozamv1.1
3yo · G · b
32
24.4
5/1·6.00
SP
35
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 6
3yo · G · b
64
20.3
66/1·67.00
SP
48
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 7
3yo · F · b
6
14.0
200/1·201.00
SP
51
4yo · G · b
1
32.5
18/1·19.00
SP
66
J: David Nolan · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 3
3yo · G · b
6
13.5
66/1·67.00
SP
77
J: Sam James · T: John Butler · draw 8
3yo · F · chp
433233
7851.5
5/2·3.50
SP
83
J: Jonny Peate · T: Sam England · draw 4
4yo · G · ch
055
19.5
66/1·67.00
SP
99
J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
22
27.1
6/1·7.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Newcastle (AW) on 5 September 2026?

Reformation (GB) won the 17:20 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.10. Ridden by Alistair Rawlinson. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Foxy Night) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Reformation (GB) (2.10), 2. Hozam (IRE) (6.00), 3. League Of Justice (USA) (67.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 28.75s.

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