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Harry Potter Droneart Show Nursery Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 20 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    This Moment (IRE)
    Grace McEntee·George Boughey
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Star People (FR)
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 0.05 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Social Spirit (GB)
    Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 2.75 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
59.42s

Race time recorded.

In-running (This Moment (IRE))

“Set off in front and stayed there throughout - pushed along past halfway - opened a good advantage a furlong out - margin narrowed under pressure from a rival close home - had to be driven out to the line - held on by the narrowest of margins”

AI top-rated Influencer Man (score 58.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.1-2.09 score
This Moment
5.30Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Influencer Man

Influencer Man heads this six-runner Newcastle sprint on ratings and has the profile of a horse well-suited to five furlongs on the all-weather, making him a straightforward pick at Class 4 level. This Moment is the most likely threat, sitting five points behind on our assessment, while Casino Star and Social Spirit will need to find more than their figures suggest to bridge the gap. The remainder look out of their depth against the selection's credentials. Influencer Man is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Influencer Man

Oisin McSweeney · Adrian Keatley · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 58.7 · +2.0 clear of next best (56.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    84very strong
    Last 6: 4-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    Adrian Keatley: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.02
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.88
High (5–6)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Grace McEntee · T: George Boughey · draw 2
2yo · G · b
2424
7954.0
11/2·6.50
SP
26
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 3
2yo · G · bbFT B
0523
7148.4
7/4F·2.75
SP
35
2yo · G · b
35680
7140.6
6/1·7.00
SP
41
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 5
2yo · G · chpFT P
421
7558.7
4/1·5.00
SP
53
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4
2yo · C · chpFT P
2623
7656.7
3/1·4.00
SP
64
J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
2yo · F · b
92310
7347.2
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:54 Newcastle (AW) on 20 August 2026?

This Moment (IRE) won the 19:54 Newcastle (AW) at SP 6.50. Ridden by Grace McEntee. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:54 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Influencer Man) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:54 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. This Moment (IRE) (6.50), 2. Star People (FR) (2.75), 3. Social Spirit (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:54 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 59.42s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org