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Next · 1h 59m14:30Gowran Park

H. Malone & Sons 100th Anniversary Nursery Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,245 · Friday, 2 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Waiting For Archie (GB)
    Barry McHugh·Richard & Peter Fahey
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Perfect Hope (GB)
    Jason Hart·Tom Ward·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/2J·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sankhum Galaxy (IRE)
    Andrew Mullen·Ben Haslam·beaten .5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 28.87s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Waiting For Archie (GB))

“Settled in the pack - niggled and moved up 2f out - fourth over 1f out - edged ahead over 110yds out and kept finding to win”

AI top-rated Claret Time (score 49.9) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.10.39 score
Perfect Hope
5.80Smarkets

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way49.9/100 rating
Claret Time
8.00Betfred
Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Perfect Hope

Perfect Hope heads our ratings on 75, four pounds better than Callisterra on 71, and that edge is enough to make her the pick in a modest Class 6 seven-furlong contest at Newcastle. The gap is a narrow one rather than a decisive one, so this is no confident call, but she looks the most capable on our figures. Callisterra is the chief danger, with Onslaught on 68 and Son of A Fish on 67 also close enough to take advantage if the selection fails to fire. Perfect Hope gets the vote.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Claret Time

Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 49.9 · +3.1 clear of next best (46.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Nigel Tinkler: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 5-7-8-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
MarketBest price 8.00 (Betfred) · 5th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
2yo · G · b
57780
5334.6
14/1·15.00
SP
24
J: Jason Hart · T: Tom Ward · draw 8
2yo · F · bbFT B
698222
6346.7
7/2J·4.50
SP
310
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 3
2yo · C · b
806
4934.2
12/1·13.00
SP
41
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 10
2yo · F · b
5233
6443.5
9/2·5.50
SP
52
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
53732
6443.8
9/2·5.50
SP
63
2yo · C · bp
633553
6442.4
7/2J·4.50
SP
79
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
2yo · G · bp
67599
5138.1
80/1·81.00
SP
87
J: Robert Havlin · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
2yo · F · b
79648
5636.9
16/1·17.00
SP
96
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 2
2yo · G · bh
57824
5749.9
15/2·8.50
SP
105
J: Sam James · T: Katie Scott · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
85374
5838.5
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Newcastle (AW) on 2 October 2026?

Waiting For Archie (GB) won the 17:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 15.00. Ridden by Barry McHugh. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Claret Time) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Waiting For Archie (GB) (15.00), 2. Perfect Hope (GB) (4.50), 3. Sankhum Galaxy (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 28.87s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org