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North Downs Hospital Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 9 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 46.9 · +3.5 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.75
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way43.4/100 rating
Pepper Fizz
14.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pepper FizzDiffers from our pick

Pepper Fizz heads this nine-runner Lingfield mile-and-a-half contest narrowly ahead of her rivals on our assessments, and her profile suggests she is well suited to this type of staying test on the all-weather. Lady Of Clover, Dijon Gone, and Amalou are the chief dangers and will press if Pepper Fizz fails to see out her running, though the gap to each of them offers some comfort. On balance, Pepper Fizz is selected to take this Class 6 contest.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Of Clover

Liam Wright(5) · George Scott · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 46.9 · +3.5 clear of next best (43.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    50d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3-6-3-1-4-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    George Scott: 3/17 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
MarketBest price 3.75 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.25
High (8–10)
IV 0.97

Today: Pepper Fizz (draw 7) and Naranka (draw 6) get the bias; Lady Of Clover (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Liam Wright(5) · T: George Scott · draw 4 · combo 3/15 (20%)
3yo · F · bh
363143
5246.97/2·4.4811/4·3.75
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Gina Mangan · T: Georgina Nicholls · draw 7
3yo · F · bOnly runner
95606
5243.414/1·14.0714·14.00
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Luke Morris · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 3
3yo · F · btClass dropOnly runner
093
5042.114/1·15.3534·34.00
Matchbook · +122% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 1
3yo · G · bbFT BClass dropOnly pairing
09646
5240.518/1·19.1938·38.00
Matchbook · +98% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: George Baker · draw 6 · combo 1/8 (13%)
3yo · G · chDOnly runner
57021
5237.5
7
J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 10 · combo 3/20 (15%)
3yo · F · bOnly runner
980
5134.48/1·8.967/1·8.00
LiveScore Bet · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Kieren Fox · T: Dan Horsford · draw 9
3yo · F · bOnly runner
70024
5432.43/1·4.169/4·3.25
Star Sports · -22% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5 · combo 2/36 (6%)
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
86956
4932.228/1·28.1555·55.00
Matchbook · +95% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 8 · combo 3/13 (23%)
3yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner
485549
4531.133/1·37.1075·75.00
Matchbook · +102% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Denis Coakley · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT POnly runner
60087
5225.65/1·5.765.8·5.80
Matchbook
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the North Downs Hospital Handicap Stakes?

The North Downs Hospital Handicap Stakes is off at 17:40 on 22 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:40 Lingfield (AW)?

1m4f, Class 6, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:40 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:40 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Lady Of Clover (score 46.9, best price 3.75). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:40 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Crazy Plan at a best price of 3.25. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lady Of Clover.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org