17:55 Southwell (AW)

Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners · £5,653 · Saturday, 3 October 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (13 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Franschhoek

No. 7 · score 61.7 · +4.5 clear of next best · best 14/1·15.00

Best value vs consensus

Vincent Rocks

44·44.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair (consensus 37.71)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.12.69 score

Wid

3.95Matchbook

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way50.6/100 rating

Nostrum

6.40Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: NostrumDiffers from our pick

Nostrum is our selection at Southwell, and he looks the right call over Cristo, who is rated just a pound better on our figures. Nostrum's progressive profile and fitness edge give him the nod in a tightly packed 13-runner event where little separates the top of the list. Cristo is the main danger, with Vincent Rocks and Dovey Moon also firmly in the mix at two and three pounds behind our pick respectively, though Nostrum's improving profile should tell. Nostrum gets the verdict.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Franschhoek

Jonny Peate · James Fanshawe · 3yo

Top-rated of 13

score 61.7 · +4.5 clear of next best (57.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
83very strong
James Fanshawe: 5/15 winners last 14d (33%)
Form20% weight
53average
Last 6: 3-1-6
Ratings50% weight
52average
OR 78

MarketBest price 15.00 (Matchbook) · 6th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
3Vincent Rocks 5Wid 6Nakaaha
Prominent(2)
2Nostrum 11Dovey Moon
Mid-division(1)
1Cristo
Hold-up / closers(2)
4Kalamunda 8Magic Trip
Unknown(5)
7Franschhoek 9Siwa Oasis 10Golden Pharaoh 12Camino Del Ray 13Wield

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.96

Mid (6–9)

IV 1.04

High (10–13)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	FranschhoekPick J: Jonny Peate · T: James Fanshawe · draw 4 · combo 2/14 (14%) 3yo · G · bGoing 1/2Only runner	316	9-07	78	—	—	61.7	16/1·16.90	15·15.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook15·15.00Betfair Exchange14·14.00Smarkets14·14.00SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00Hollywood Bets12/1·13.00Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 BetMGM10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00
5	Widv1.1 J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 · combo 12/48 (25%) 3yo · F · bClass dropD	7214	9-09	80	—	—	57.2	7/2·4.55	4.1·4.10 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook4.1·4.10Smarkets4.1·4.10Betfair Exchange4·4.00 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetWright5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.5010 Bet5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Paddy Power5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Betano9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 BetMGM2/1·3.00
2	Nostrum J: Andrew Mullen · T: Michael Appleby · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 6yo · G · b	800052	9-12	80	—	—	50.6	11/2·6.50	6.4·6.40 Matchbook · -2% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook6.4·6.40Smarkets6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Spreadex7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33 BetMGM10/3·4.33
1	Cristo J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 11 · combo 10/107 (9%) 4yo · G · chpD	2U7124	9-12	80	—	—	49.4	17/2·9.75	9.4·9.40 Matchbook · -4% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook9.4·9.40Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20Smarkets9.2·9.20Coral15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Spreadex7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Bet3657/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00Hollywood Bets7/1·8.00SportingIndex7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Betano6/1·7.00 BetMGM6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00
6	Nakaaha J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 9 · combo 4/46 (9%) 4yo · F · bhClass dropDOnly runner	561020	9-09	77	—	—	48.9	40/1·37.71	38·38.00 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook38·38.00Smarkets36·36.00Betfair Exchange34·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Bet36528/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Star Sports25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00
8	Magic Trip J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 · combo 5/49 (10%) 3yo · G · b	35052	9-07	78	—	—	48.9	11/2·6.50	6·6.00 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6·6.00Matchbook6·6.00Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 BetMGM7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50
3	Vincent Rocks J: Darragh Keenan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 10 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	302509	9-11	79	—	—	47.6	40/1·37.71	44·44.00 Matchbook · +17% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook44·44.00Smarkets40·40.00Betfair Exchange36·36.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00William Hill28/1·29.00Betfair Sportsbook28/1·29.00Star Sports28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Paddy Power28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00
9	Siwa Oasis J: Dougie Costello · T: Charles Hills · draw 8 3yo · C · bOn last winning mark	27541	9-06	77	—	—	46.4	8/1·9.10	8.2·8.20 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook8.2·8.20Betfair Exchange8·8.00Smarkets8·8.00SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Spreadex6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 BetTom11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Paddy Power11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00
12	Camino Del Ray J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 7 · combo 1/8 (13%) 4yo · G · bp	56148	9-04	72	—	—	42.5	25/1·27.31	30·30.00 Smarkets · +10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Smarkets30·30.00Matchbook30·30.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Bet36522/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00Hollywood Bets22/1·23.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.0010 Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 BetMGM18/1·19.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00
4	Kalamunda J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Joseph Parr · draw 12 6yo · G · bpOnly pairing	46257	9-10	78	—	—	41.4	50/1·53.31	75·75.00 Matchbook · +41% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets75·75.00SmarketsSBK66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange50·50.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.007Bet35/1·36.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00
11	Dovey Moon J: David Nolan · T: David Evans · draw 5 4yo · G · b3lb below win markD	103563	9-04	72	—	—	41.2	18/1·19.50	19.5·19.50 Matchbook Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook19.5·19.50Smarkets19·19.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 William Hill15/1·16.00Hollywood Bets14/1·15.00Boyle Sports14/1·15.00 Paddy Power14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00
13	Wield J: Sean Dylan Bowen · T: Joseph Parr · draw 13 3yo · G · btOnly pairing	250729	9-00	71	—	—	39.6	40/1·44.21	65·65.00 Matchbook · +47% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Smarkets60·60.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Midnite33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00
10	Golden Pharaoh J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2 · combo 4/58 (7%) 5yo · G · chpOnly runner	28083	9-05	73	—	—	34.7	50/1·53.31	75·75.00 Matchbook · +41% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook75·75.00Smarkets65·65.00SmarketsSBK55/1·56.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Betfair Exchange44·44.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Midnite40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 30% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes?

The Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes is off at 17:55 on 3 October 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:55 Southwell (AW)?

1m, Class 4, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:55 Southwell (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:55 Southwell (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Franschhoek (score 61.7, best price 15.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:55 Southwell (AW)?

The market favourite is Wid at a best price of 4.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Franschhoek.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org