18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 3h 0m14:10Lingfield (AW)

Expert Entertainment & Event Solutions Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runners · £4,320 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 11th
  1. 1st
    Rogue Defence (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·Jack Jones
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cherringham (GB)
    Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian·beaten 0.3 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mythological Star (IRE)
    Ebrahim Nader·Daniel & Claire Kubler·beaten .5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 38.71s+3.81s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Rogue Defence (GB))

Handy early - asked for effort and sent clear over 1f out - held on well to the line

AI top-rated Fiefdom (score 53.7) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.1-0.56 score
Santiago Boy
9.00Bet365

segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5

Each-way53.7/100 rating
Fiefdom
9.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Fiefdom

Robert Havlin · S Woods · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 53.7 · +4.7 clear of next best (49.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    S Woods: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    48below average
    OR 72
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 6-5-4
MarketBest price 9.00 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.77
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.11
High (9–12)
IV 1.15

Today: Fiefdom (draw 12) and Rogue Defence (draw 9) get the bias; West Byfleet (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jack Jones · draw 9
3yo · G · gr
15
7649.0
6/5F·2.20
SP
210
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 8
3yo · F · bhFT H
55
24.5
18/1·19.00
SP
39
3yo · G · b
83
24.2
5/1·6.00
SP
43
4yo · F · bh
5
24.5
66/1·67.00
SP
58
J: David Probert · T: Jack Channon · draw 3
3yo · C · b
024
7548.2
6/1·7.00
SP
611
J: Tyler Heard · T: Mark Usher · draw 11
3yo · F · chhFT H
86
9.8
200/1·201.00
SP
72
J: William Cox · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 1
4yo · F · b/brt
40
9.5
300/1·301.00
SP
86
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Charles Hills · draw 7
3yo · G · b
754
7147.7
9/2·5.50
SP
95
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Brian Meehan · draw 10
3yo · G · ch
57
11.0
100/1·101.00
SP
107
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 2
3yo · G · bhFT H
26.5
12/1·13.00
SP
114
J: Robert Havlin · T: S Woods · draw 12
3yo · G · b
654
7253.7
10/1·11.00
SP
1212
J: Luke Morris · T: Jack Morland · draw 5
3yo · F · b
23.5
80/1·81.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?

Rogue Defence (GB) won the 17:20 Lingfield (AW) at SP 2.20. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Jack Jones.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Fiefdom) finished 11.

What were the placings in the 17:20 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Rogue Defence (GB) (2.20), 2. Cherringham (GB) (19.00), 3. Mythological Star (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 38.71s, 3.81s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org