Who won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) on 26 September 2026?
Mystical Storm (GB) won the 20:00 Southwell (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Tom Kiely-Marshall. Trained by Julie Camacho.
20:00 Southwell (AW)
Festive Fixtures At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 12 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 26 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stMystical Storm (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Julie Camacho13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndDecem Starr (IRE)Dylan Hogan·Julie Camacho·beaten .75 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdCaragio (IRE)Charles Bishop·Adam Kirby·beaten 1 length11/4F·3.75SP
Race time
1m 26.53s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mystical Storm (GB))
“Settled at the back early - made progress two out and hit the front approaching the furlong marker - stayed on strongly to the line for victory”
AI top-rated Justice Court (score 55.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.89 score
Justice Court
10.50Betfair Exchange
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way50.0/100 rating
Kiani King
7.80Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Caragio
Caragio and Be Frank head this thirteen-runner Southwell contest on equal ratings, but it is the progressive profile of our selection that tips the balance in his favour, suggesting there may be more improvement to come at this Class 5 level over seven furlongs on the All-Weather. Be Frank represents the most immediate threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Mystical Storm and Forest Caper, both narrowly behind on ratings, are dangers if either finds conditions to their liking on this surface. With confidence modest, the case rests on Caragio continuing an upward trajectory, and he is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Justice Court
William Carver · Jamie Osborne · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 55.4 · +0.8 clear of next best (54.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong11d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 3-2-8-1
- Trainer20% weight58averageJamie Osborne: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 16.50 (Matchbook) · 7th in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.96
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 89063 | 69 | 34.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julie Camacho · draw 13 3yo · G · b | 54408 | 70 | 33.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Adam Kirby · draw 3 6yo · G · b | 21563 | 69 | 46.0 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: David O'Meara · draw 1 5yo · G · bh | 442051 | 72 | 46.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 12 | J: William Carson · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 60645 | 66 | 41.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: John Mackie · draw 2 4yo · G · bb | 507862 | 72 | 37.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 11 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Iain Jardine · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 256 | 69 | 40.6 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: Ross Coakley · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 6 3yo · G · bt | 496310 | 67 | 50.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | Justice Courtv1.1 J: William Carver · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 8 3yo · G · bt | 3281 | 72 | 55.4 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Jack Callan · T: Ian Williams · draw 11 6yo · G · b | 45645 | 70 | 47.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 053353 | 68 | 54.6 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: William Cox · T: Ian Williams · draw 9 7yo · G · b | 000600 | 69 | 38.3 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Mark Rimell · draw 7 8yo · G · btb | 511867 | 70 | 37.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Mason Paetel(3) · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 14 3yo · G · ch | 43467 | 70 | 44.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Justice Court) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Mystical Storm (GB) (7.50), 2. Decem Starr (IRE) (15.00), 3. Caragio (IRE) (3.75).
What was the winning time for the 20:00 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 26.53s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org