Who won the 16:15 Haydock on 5 September 2026?
Poatan (IRE) won the 16:15 Haydock at SP 10.00. Ridden by David Egan. Trained by George Scott.
16:15 Haydock
Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 2 · Soft · 9 runners · £23,193 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stPoatan (IRE)David Egan·George Scott9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndTrilby (GB)P J McDonald·Sam England·beaten 1.5 lengths2/1F·3.00SP
- 3rdElara May (GB)Hector Crouch·Philip McBride·beaten 0.3 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 2.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Poatan (IRE))
“Settled close up in third early - began to make progress a furlong out - hit the front inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Sturlasson (score 63.8) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.91 score
Poatan
6.80Betfair Exchange
segment +19.6% · Flat · Heavy · Class 2
Each-way58.5/100 rating
Poatan
13.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Poatan
Poatan may sit a pound behind the top-rated Advertised on these figures, but a progressive profile makes him the more compelling proposition on heavy ground at Haydock over this sharp five furlongs, suggesting there is more to come from him than the bare rating implies. Advertised remains the most obvious threat and must be respected, while Arklow Lad and Toyotomi, both rated 96, add further depth to the opposition and cannot be easily dismissed. The confidence is measured rather than absolute, yet the upward trajectory of Poatan's form is the decisive factor here. The selection is Poatan.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Sturlasson
Stevie Donohoe · John Ryan · 5yo
Top-rated of 10
score 63.8 · +5.3 clear of next best (58.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=7)John Ryan: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86
- Form20% weight26weakLast 6: 5-2-9-4-0
MarketBest price 36.00 (7Bet) · 10th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 5f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.22
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.71
High (8–10)
IV 1.02
Today: Poatan (draw 4) and Black Star Boy (draw 1) get the bias; Trilby (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 114 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Poatanv1.1 J: David Egan · T: George Scott · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 51337 | 97 | 58.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: P J McDonald · T: Sam England · draw 5 6yo · G · btp | 131041 | 88 | 57.1 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Philip McBride · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 14842 | 83 | 45.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Ray Dawson · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 10 6yo · G · ch | 73345 | 80 | 42.3 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Phil McEntee · draw 3 5yo · G · btpFT TP | 404314 | 83 | 46.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 42902 | 93 | 54.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · G · bt | 81600 | 90 | 53.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: Stevie Donohoe · T: John Ryan · draw 9 5yo · G · g | 52940 | 86 | 63.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Appleby · draw 7 4yo · C · btp | 131510 | 92 | 56.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 563106 | 94 | 53.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Sturlasson) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Poatan (IRE) (10.00), 2. Trilby (GB) (3.00), 3. Elara May (GB) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Haydock?
The winning time was 1m 2.27s.
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