Who won the 19:00 Newcastle (AW) on 5 September 2026?
Storm Esme (GB) won the 19:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Sean Kirrane. Trained by Tim Easterby.
19:00 Newcastle (AW)
Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 14 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 5 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stStorm Esme (GB)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndBelieveinmenow (IRE)Jack Nicholls·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 1.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdGreat Profit (IRE)AI top pick · 48.0Barry McHugh·W H Harrison·beaten .5 lengths7/2J·4.50SP
Race time
1m 13.01s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Storm Esme (GB))
“Held a midfield position - driven to advance inside final furlong and hit front close home - drew clear to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.11.59 score
Riley Rocks
7.00Betfair Exchange
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way48.0/100 rating
Great Profit
6.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: March Ahead
March Ahead holds a narrowly lower rating than the top three in this fourteen-runner Class 5 sprint at Newcastle, but it is the progressive profile that draws us to this one over rivals who may be closer to their ceiling. Believeinmenow heads the ratings and cannot be dismissed, while Showtown and Comprador sit a couple of pounds behind and represent the chief dangers in what looks a genuinely competitive heat over six furlongs on the all-weather. With confidence acknowledged as modest, the case rests on March Ahead continuing an upward curve that the others may not be able to match. March Ahead is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Great Profit
Barry McHugh · W H Harrison · 3yo
Top-rated of 14
score 48.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (46.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong29d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight81very strongLast 6: 8-2-2-2-1
- Ratings50% weight47below averageOR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=3)W H Harrison: 0/3 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 6.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 14.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.02
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.88
High (11–14)
IV 1.09
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5 3yo · F · brp | 708584 | 61 | 42.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 7 3yo · G · bh | 227394 | 66 | 38.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Barry McHugh · T: W H Harrison · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 82221 | 70 | 48.0 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 44309 | 64 | 34.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 3 3yo · F · ch | 342250 | 65 | 39.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | Riley Rocksv1.1 J: Sam James · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 160404 | 70 | 46.5 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: David Nolan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 12 3yo · F · b | 61845 | 70 | 46.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 13 3yo · G · bbFT B | 204588 | 64 | 41.6 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 12 | J: Dougie Costello · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 9 3yo · G · cht | 65260 | 63 | 43.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 10 | 11 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 193256 | 64 | 39.7 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 11 | 5 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: Brian Ellison · draw 8 3yo · G · chp | 489378 | 67 | 40.2 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: Jonny Peate · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 3yo · G · bt | 50175 | 63 | 36.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 13 | 4 | J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 14 3yo · F · b | 031513 | 67 | 45.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 14 | 6 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 2 3yo · C · bp | 335306 | 67 | 43.3 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Great Profit) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 19:00 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Storm Esme (GB) (10.00), 2. Believeinmenow (IRE) (10.00), 3. Great Profit (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:00 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 13.01s.
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