Who won the 20:10 Southwell (AW) on 3 September 2026?
Papa Cocktail (IRE) won the 20:10 Southwell (AW) at SP 9.50. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Michael Herrington.
20:10 Southwell (AW)
Bettingsites.co.uk Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 12 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 3 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stPapa Cocktail (IRE)Jason Hart·Michael Herrington17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndKirkdale (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Edward Bethell·beaten .75 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdMoving Force (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Mark Loughnane·beaten 1.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
1m 13.31s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Papa Cocktail (IRE))
“Settled midfield early - made progress under 2f out - driven approaching final furlong and eased across right - urged inside the last with a determined finish drifting left - got up to score”
AI top-rated Tyger Bay (score 58.4) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.90 score
Papa Cocktail
9.20Matchbook
segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4
Each-way53.9/100 rating
Kirkdale
7.60Matchbook
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Tyger Bay
Tyger Bay heads this competitive twelve-runner sprint at Southwell on the all-weather, sitting narrowly ahead of Diligent Resdev and a few pounds clear of Prince Of Pillo and Moving Force, who represent the chief dangers in a race where the principals are fairly tightly grouped. Diligent Resdev in particular cannot be dismissed lightly, and Prince Of Pillo and Moving Force will ensure Tyger Bay has to produce a solid effort on the all-weather surface. That said, Tyger Bay's edge at the top of the ratings reflects a consistent profile that merits respect, and on a track that rewards horses who travel well through six furlongs, the selection looks the one to be on. The verdict is for Tyger Bay to justify that narrow advantage and come out on top.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tyger Bay
Seamus Cronin(5) · Conrad Allen · 9yo
Top-rated of 12
score 58.4 · +4.5 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Conrad Allen: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong5d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 77
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 7-1-9-2-5
MarketBest price 44.00 (Matchbook) · 11th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.09
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.96
High (9–12)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Papa Cocktailv1.1 J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Herrington · draw 5 7yo · G · b | 052364 | 78 | 49.1 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Edward Bethell · draw 4 4yo · G · bv | 24411 | 79 | 53.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 92872 | 82 | 44.4 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Mike Murphy · draw 12 4yo · G · b | 805660 | 81 | 39.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: David O'Meara · draw 9 5yo · G · b | 551141 | 76 | 51.7 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 36969 | 80 | 43.2 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 3 5yo · G · bv | 356311 | 76 | 51.3 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Conrad Allen · draw 6 9yo · G · btb | 71925 | 77 | 58.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Liam Bailey · draw 10 5yo · G · bt | 712018 | 73 | 44.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Warren Fentiman(3) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 412900 | 73 | 44.6 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 2 6yo · G · ch | 29680 | 75 | 41.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Ian Williams · draw 11 7yo · G · b | 160006 | 71 | 39.6 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:10 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tyger Bay) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 20:10 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Papa Cocktail (IRE) (9.50), 2. Kirkdale (IRE) (5.50), 3. Moving Force (IRE) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:10 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 13.31s.
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