Who won the 16:20 Southwell (AW) on 17 September 2026?
Crowned (IRE) won the 16:20 Southwell (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Lewis Edmunds. Trained by Michael Keady.
16:20 Southwell (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stCrowned (IRE)Lewis Edmunds·Michael Keady5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndStoney Wood (IRE)Callum Shepherd·Michael Bell·beaten .5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdSecret Rival (IRE)Ashley Lewis·Ed Walker·beaten 1.75 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 15.93s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Crowned (IRE))
“Sluggish start settling near the back - progress made and pushed along with 2f left - powered on inside final furlong - hit front close home to score”
AI top-rated Defiant Dream (score 50.5) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 66.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.12.39 score
Stoney Wood
5.50Ladbrokes
segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6
Each-way48.2/100 rating
Wopbopaloomop
5.30Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Wopbopaloomop
Wopbopaloomop sits level with Boutblummintime at the head of these ratings but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there may be more to come over this six-furlong Southwell trip. Boutblummintime represents the most obvious threat given that shared rating advantage, while Crowned and Sable Island, both 4 lb behind, cannot be dismissed in a competitive thirteen-runner Class 6 field. The confidence here is modest, and punters should be aware this is a race where things could go several ways, but the upward trajectory makes the case for Wopbopaloomop.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Defiant Dream
Tyler Heard · Mark Usher · 2yo
Top-rated of 13
score 50.5 · +2.3 clear of next best (48.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong39d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=9)Mark Usher: 3/9 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 56
- Form20% weight34weakLast 6: 9-2-6-5
MarketBest price 100.00 (Matchbook) · 13th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.09
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.96
High (10–13)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Michael Keady · draw 11 2yo · C · b | 34522 | 65 | 44.2 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | Stoney Woodv1.1 J: Callum Shepherd · T: Michael Bell · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 08565 | 63 | 35.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 86775 | 57 | 34.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 44 | 59 | 42.2 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 1 2yo · G · b | 66446 | 61 | 45.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 7 2yo · F · b | 562 | 63 | 41.1 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Chris Dwyer · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 376557 | 61 | 37.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Jack Callan · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9 2yo · F · bt | 6461 | 61 | 48.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 187505 | 57 | 38.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: James Sullivan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 544 | 62 | 45.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 11 | 12 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Mark Usher · draw 13 2yo · F · bp | 9265 | 56 | 50.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 12 | 9 | J: David Probert · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 560348 | 58 | 40.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rob Hornby · T: Tom Ward · draw 12 2yo · F · bv | 866258 | 52 | 30.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Defiant Dream) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Crowned (IRE) (3.50), 2. Stoney Wood (IRE) (4.50), 3. Secret Rival (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 15.93s.
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