18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes (Div II)

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Tomorrow Day (GB)
    Connor Beasley·Mark Usher
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Tickets (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Patrick Neville·beaten 0.2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Uncle Sam (GB)
    Oisin Orr·Ray Craggs·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 14.17s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tomorrow Day (GB))

Sat close to the pace early - urged along over 2f out and closed on the front group - hit the front approaching the final furlong - held off a determined rival to score

AI top-rated Little Beck Annie (score 45.1) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.13.95 score
Em Jay Kay
5.20Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way42.3/100 rating
Tomorrow Day
4.50BetTom
Place portion settles at 1.70 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Uncle Sam

Uncle Sam heads this nine-runner Class 6 sprint at Newcastle on the all-weather narrowly ahead of Tickets and Tomorrow Day on ratings, and his profile over this six-furlong trip gives him a workable edge in a competitive heat. Tickets and Tomorrow Day are the most pressing dangers and could easily make life uncomfortable if Uncle Sam fails to put his best foot forward, while Em Jay Kay also merits respect on a mark just three pounds below the selection. With confidence modest in what is a closely matched affair, Uncle Sam is the call, but punters should be aware the first four in the ratings are separated by precious little. Uncle Sam is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Little Beck Annie

Mark Winn · Peter Niven · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 45.1 · +2.8 clear of next best (42.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    69d since last run (rusty)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Peter Niven: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 6-4-7-1-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 50
MarketBest price 30.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Connor Beasley · T: Mark Usher · draw 9
5yo · G · btv
85022
5142.3
3/1·4.00
SP
26
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Patrick Neville · draw 3
7yo · G · bt
265524
4735.1
4/1·5.00
SP
34
J: Oisin Orr · T: Ray Craggs · draw 1
4yo · G · b
82026
4940.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
45
9yo · G · bv
374573
4841.9
9/1·10.00
SP
53
J: Mark Winn · T: Peter Niven · draw 6
4yo · F · bp
64715
5045.1
8/1·9.00
SP
67
J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 5
5yo · G · bv
247435
4533.3
4/1·5.00
SP
79
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Fred Watson · draw 7
5yo · M · bh
47700
4523.1
66/1·67.00
SP
88
J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 2
4yo · F · bh
699505
4525.3
125/1·126.00
SP
J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 4
7yo · G · bp
890804
5227.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:40 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Tomorrow Day (GB) won the 17:40 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Mark Usher.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Little Beck Annie) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 17:40 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Tomorrow Day (GB) (4.00), 2. Tickets (GB) (5.00), 3. Uncle Sam (GB) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:40 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 14.17s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org