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Spa At The Marriott Lingfield Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 13 runners · £5,400 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 54.8 · +9.0 clear of next best · best 5/2·3.40
Best value vs consensus
42·42.00 Matchbook · +5% vs fair (consensus 40.01)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way45.8/100 rating
Shemiyla Star
6.00Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Eighth Immortal

Luke Morris · Jack Jones · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 54.8 · +9.0 clear of next best (45.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 2-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Jack Jones: 2/16 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 3.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.77
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.11
High (10–13)
IV 1.15

Today: Pirates Paradise (draw 12) and Starlight Bay (draw 13) get the bias; Eighth Immortal (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Luke Morris · T: Jack Jones · draw 2
2yo · C · chpFT POnly runner
233
7754.811/4·3.633.4·3.40
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
240
7145.86/1·6.906·6.00
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
11
J: Grace McEntee · T: George Boughey · draw 6
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
3
32.05/1·6.217.8·7.80
Matchbook · +26% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
9
J: Jack Gilligan · T: Marco Botti · draw 5 · combo 0/16 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
6
27.533/1·35.8785·85.00
Matchbook · +137% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
7
J: Liam Wright(5) · T: George Scott · draw 12 · combo 3/15 (20%)
2yo · G · bClass drop
5
25.033/1·32.4228/1·29.00
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: Gina Mangan · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 13
2yo · F · b
23.540/1·40.0142·42.00
Matchbook · +5% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
4
J: Tom Queally · T: Adam Kirby · draw 1
2yo · G · bOnly runner
4
21.59/2·5.525.1·5.10
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 7
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
21.525/1·26.2120/1·21.00
Bet365 · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
2
J: Jonny Peate · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 8
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner
8
20.516/1·16.5612/1·13.00
Bet365 · -21% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
8
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Mark Usher · draw 10 · combo 2/10 (20%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
19.5100/1·92.44150·150.00
Matchbook · +62% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 11 · combo 1/18 (6%)
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly ride
00
16.5200/1·208.34600·600.00
Matchbook · +188% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
12
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Tom Ward · draw 9
2yo · F · chOnly runner
06
16.2200/1·208.34450·450.00
Matchbook · +116% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 4 · combo 4/36 (11%)
2yo · F · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner
9
14.728/1·28.9730·30.00
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 38% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Spa At The Marriott Lingfield Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)?

The Spa At The Marriott Lingfield Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race) is off at 18:45 on 22 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:45 Lingfield (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Eighth Immortal (score 54.8, best price 3.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Eighth Immortal at a best price of 3.40.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org