14:41 Wolverhampton (AW)

Off in 1m

bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners · £5,400 · Friday, 2 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Lahan Kingman

No. 4 · score 53.2 · +9.0 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.70

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Lahan Kingman (also top rated)

4.7·4.70 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair (consensus 4.41)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Lahan Kingman advised 10/3·4.20 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.1-1.81 score

Lahan Kingman

4.10Betfair Exchange

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way53.2/100 rating

Lahan Kingman

4.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lahan Kingman

Billy Loughnane · Richard Hughes · 3yo

Top-rated of 7

score 53.2 · +9.0 clear of next best (44.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 3-2-2-4-4
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Richard Hughes: 5/30 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketBest price 4.70 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
7Ventana
Prominent(1)
5Moonlight Melody
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
1Red Melody
Unknown(4)
2Inkberrow 3Kodi Blue 4Lahan Kingman 6Vannessa

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)

IV 1.24

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.91

High (6–7)

IV 0.83

Today: Lahan Kingman (draw 2) and Ventana (draw 3) get the bias; Moonlight Melody (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
4	Lahan KingmanPickv1.1 J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 · combo 4/31 (13%) 3yo · F · bbOnly runner	32244	9-02	70	—	—	53.2	10/3·4.41	4.7·4.70 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70Smarkets4.7·4.70Matchbook4.6·4.60SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00Hollywood Bets11/4·3.75Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Unibet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 10 Bet11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 Paddy Power11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 Star Sports5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Betano5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50
5	Moonlight Melody J: Luke Morris · T: Donald McCain · draw 7 3yo · F · bOnly runner	54436	9-02	67	—	—	44.3	14/1·14.11	18.5·18.50 Matchbook · +31% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook18.5·18.50Smarkets18·18.00Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00BetWright10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00
7	Ventana J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 3 · combo 2/16 (13%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	8529	9-02	70	—	—	38.9	14/1·15.28	23·23.00 Matchbook · +51% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook23·23.00Smarkets22·22.00Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Bet36512/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00
2	Inkberrow J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6 · combo 4/36 (11%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	2	9-02	—	—	—	25.6	4/6·1.69	8/15·1.53 Unibet · -10% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Unibet8/15·1.53 William Hill1/2·1.50 Quinn Bet1/2·1.50 BetWright1/2·1.50 10 Bet1/2·1.50 Dragon Bet1/2·1.50 Star Sports1/2·1.50 LiveScore Bet1/2·1.50 Betfair Exchange1.5·1.50Virgin Bet1/2·1.50Smarkets1.5·1.50Matchbook1.48·1.48SportingIndex4/9·1.44 BetMGM4/9·1.44 Boyle Sports4/9·1.44Betfair Sportsbook4/9·1.44Paddy Power4/9·1.44Hollywood Bets4/9·1.447Bet4/9·1.44 SmarketsSBK4/9·1.44 BetTom4/9·1.44 Spreadex4/9·1.44 Bet3654/9·1.44 Betfred4/9·1.44 Ladbrokes4/9·1.44 Coral4/9·1.44 Bet Victor2/5·1.40 Midnite2/5·1.40 Betano2/5·1.40
3	Kodi Blue J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(3) · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 1 3yo · F · bOnly runner	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	33/1·34.10	65·65.00 Matchbook · +91% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook65·65.00Betfair Exchange55·55.00Smarkets55·55.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Bet36533/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Midnite33/1·34.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Paddy Power30/1·31.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.0010 Bet28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00
1	Red Melody J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 5 · combo 1/9 (11%) 4yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner	0	9-03	—	—	—	10.0	250/1·236.33	1000·1000.00 Betfair Exchange · +323% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1000·1000.00Matchbook1000·1000.00Smarkets1000·1000.00Coral450/1·451.00 Ladbrokes450/1·451.00 SmarketsSBK400/1·401.00 Unibet300/1·301.00 Bet Victor250/1·251.00 William Hill250/1·251.00Virgin Bet250/1·251.00Midnite250/1·251.00 Betano250/1·251.00 Boyle Sports200/1·201.00 Star Sports200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Bet365200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 BetMGM200/1·201.00 Spreadex150/1·151.00 SportingIndex150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 7Bet150/1·151.00 LiveScore Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00Hollywood Bets150/1·151.00
6	Vannessa J: David Probert · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 4 · combo 0/14 (0%) 3yo · F · grFirst after wind opOnly runner	7	9-02	—	—	—	7.5	80/1·78.78	180·180.00 Matchbook · +129% vs fair Compare 29 books ▾ Matchbook180·180.00Smarkets150·150.00Betfair Exchange140·140.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Bet36580/1·81.00 Midnite80/1·81.00 7Bet70/1·71.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Unibet66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Paddy Power66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet66/1·67.00Virgin Bet66/1·67.00BetMGM66/1·67.00Hollywood Bets66/1·67.00William Hill66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 BetWright60/1·61.00 Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The bet365 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 14:41 on 2 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:41 Wolverhampton (AW)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:41 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:41 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Lahan Kingman (score 53.2, best price 4.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:41 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Inkberrow at a best price of 1.53. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lahan Kingman.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org