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RacingAlpha

Emilies 21st Birthday Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 12 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/2C·4.50
  1. 1st
    Split Elevens (GB)AI top pick · 52.7
    Jack Callan·John Butler
    7/2C·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Spirit Of Breeze (IRE)
    Finley Marsh·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten .5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Chelio (GB)
    George Bass·Denis Coakley·beaten 1.5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.04s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Split Elevens (GB))

Sat just behind the front group early - moved up to challenge 2f out and hit the front approaching the final furlong - stayed on strongly to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.13.16 score
Oxford Circus
4.33Ladbrokes

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way52.7/100 rating
Split Elevens
7.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lerwick

Lerwick heads this 13-runner Class 6 contest at Lingfield on the all-weather carrying a performance rating six pounds clear of the next-best Quick Quasar, which represents a meaningful advantage at this level. Quick Quasar, Midnight's Dream and My Dad Tom are the chief dangers and cannot be dismissed entirely, though Lerwick's superiority on collated form suggests the task facing them is a stiff one. Provided Lerwick reproduces his best on the Polytrack surface, he looks the one to beat over this seven-furlong trip. Lerwick is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Split Elevens

Jack Callan · John Butler · 8yo

Top-rated of 12
score 52.7 · +1.5 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    46d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 4-5-4-1-2-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    John Butler: 5/22 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketBest price 7.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–5)
IV 0.77
Mid (6–9)
IV 1.11
High (10–13)
IV 1.15

Today: Spirit Of Breeze (draw 10) and Lerwick (draw 12) get the bias; Split Elevens (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Jack Callan · T: John Butler · draw 1
8yo · G · b
454124
6152.7
7/2C·4.50
SP
22
J: Finley Marsh · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 10
6yo · G · bt
61933
6451.2
6/1·7.00
SP
39
J: George Bass · T: Denis Coakley · draw 8
3yo · G · b
32682
6136.3
8/1·9.00
SP
48
5yo · G · btv
431686
5735.8
12/1·13.00
SP
56
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Joseph Parr · draw 7
5yo · G · bv
006323
5839.3
17/2·9.50
SP
65
J: William Cox · T: Archie Watson · draw 4
3yo · G · bb
021974
6538.0
25/1·26.00
SP
710
J: Robert Havlin · T: James Owen · draw 3
3yo · F · chh
46678
5940.1
33/1·34.00
SP
811
J: David Probert · T: Ross Burdon · draw 11
3yo · F · b
8602
5836.6
18/1·19.00
SP
913
J: Callum Shepherd · T: James Owen · draw 13
4yo · G · b
580600
5134.7
7/2C·4.50
SP
104
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Conrad Allen · draw 2
4yo · G · bb
320361
5649.2
7/2C·4.50
SP
1112
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5
3yo · G · bp
66664
5838.0
40/1·41.00
SP
127
3yo · G · chv
23727
6335.9
80/1·81.00
SP
J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 12
6yo · G · b/bes
45671
6446.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:28 Lingfield (AW) on 13 August 2026?

Split Elevens (GB) won the 18:28 Lingfield (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by John Butler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:28 Lingfield (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Split Elevens, won the race (AI score 52.7).

What were the placings in the 18:28 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Split Elevens (GB) (4.50), 2. Spirit Of Breeze (IRE) (7.00), 3. Chelio (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:28 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 24.04s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org