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attheraces.com/marketmovers Classified Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Charles Morin (GB)
    Paddy Bradley·Pat Phelan
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Someone's Wish (IRE)
    Ryan Kavanagh·Patrick Morris·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Fighting Poet (IRE)
    Jonny Peate·Richard Phillips·beaten 0.05 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
Race time
2m 31.38s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Charles Morin (GB))

Driven early to hold a spot on the outside - hit front after 4f - urged with 2f remaining - responded and driven out final furlong - held on for the win

AI top-rated Churchill's Spirit (score 45.6) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 12.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way39.1/100 rating
Douglas Dc
11.00LiveScore Bet
Place portion settles at 3.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Foinix

Foinix catches the eye here on a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, and a fitness edge over some of these rivals makes that profile all the more compelling over this twelve-furlong trip at Lingfield. Someone's Wish holds the highest rating in the field and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Charles Morin and Douglas Dc are dangers if reproducing their better efforts. The confidence is not high, but the case for improvement tips the balance, and Foinix is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Churchill's Spirit

Jack Mitchell · Tom Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 45.6 · +0.9 clear of next best (44.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    65strong
    Tom Clover: 5/19 winners last 14d (26%)
  • Form20% weight
    38below average
    Last 6: 9-6-4-3-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    30weak
    OR 45
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 7th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.25
High (8–10)
IV 0.97

Today: Foinix (draw 6) and Charles Morin (draw 7) get the bias; Churchill's Spirit (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Pat Phelan · draw 7
5yo · G · bbFT B
425300
5038.7
9/2·5.50
SP
27
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 3
6yo · G · bp
33690
5026.7
11/1·12.00
SP
34
J: Jonny Peate · T: Richard Phillips · draw 5
8yo · G · bb
406892
4528.1
10/1·11.00
SP
43
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Tony Carroll · draw 10
8yo · G · bb
97552
4739.1
5/1·6.00
SP
55
J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Mark Rimell · draw 8
4yo · F · bt
10744
5034.0
11/4F·3.75
SP
66
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Max Comley · draw 4
5yo · G · ch
91755
5043.6
9/1·10.00
SP
71
J: Finley Marsh · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6
6yo · G · bb
877321
4639.9
5/1·6.00
SP
89
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Tom Clover · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT P
96435
4545.6
12/1·13.00
SP
910
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 9
3yo · F · br
405
5044.7
80/1·81.00
SP
108
J: Tyler Heard · T: David Flood · draw 1
4yo · F · bt
604988
4431.4
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:33 Lingfield (AW) on 18 August 2026?

Charles Morin (GB) won the 15:33 Lingfield (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Paddy Bradley. Trained by Pat Phelan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:33 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Churchill's Spirit) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 15:33 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Charles Morin (GB) (5.50), 2. Someone's Wish (IRE) (12.00), 3. Fighting Poet (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:33 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 31.38s.

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