17:00 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Monday, 17 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Hove Ranger

No. 8 · score 49.0 · +0.5 clear of next best · best 7/2·4.60

Best value vs consensus

Bergamo Gold

6/1·7.00 BresBet · +11% vs fair (consensus 6.30)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 35 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Model testThis race is on v1.0's public test card: Hove Ranger advised 10/3·4.20 (Betfair Exchange), frozen at publication — win or lose, it stays on the ledger.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

v1.12.32 score

Twilight Glow

14.50Matchbook

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way49.0/100 rating

Hove Ranger

4.60Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Forca TimaoDiffers from our pick

Forca Timao shares the top rating in this Class 6 ten-furlong contest at Lingfield but is preferred over the joint top-rated Six Blue on the strength of a progressive profile and clock figures that back the form, suggesting there may be more to come. Six Blue represents the most obvious threat given the identical rating, while Uzincso and Bergamo Gold are capable of making life difficult if either finds improvement on their current marks. This is an open affair and confidence is modest, but the case for Forca Timao rests on a horse still moving in the right direction, and that edge in trajectory earns the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Hove Ranger

Rhys Clutterbuck · Gary & Josh Moore · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 49.0 · +0.5 clear of next best (48.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
48d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
60average
Last 6: 6-2-1-5-3
Trainer20% weight
53average
Gary & Josh Moore: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
Ratings50% weight
36below average
OR 54

MarketBest price 4.60 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
2Forca Timao 6Bergamo Gold
Prominent(3)
3Uzincso 5Twilight Glow 8Hove Ranger
Mid-division(1)
4Beta Reader
Hold-up / closers(1)
1Six Blue
Unknown(1)
7Boston Run

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.82

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.25

High (7–8)

IV 0.97

Today: Six Blue (draw 6) and Twilight Glow (draw 4) get the bias; Hove Ranger (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
8	Hove RangerPick J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 2 · combo 2/24 (8%) 3yo · G · bOnly ride	62153	8-13	54	—	—	49.0	7/2·4.58	4.6·4.60 Matchbook All 35 books ▾ Matchbook4.6·4.60BestOdds10/3·4.33Octobet10/3·4.33BetAhoy10/3·4.33 CopyBet10/3·4.33 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange4.2·4.20Smarkets4.2·4.2010 Bet3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00Bet MGM3/1·4.007Bet3/1·4.00 BresBet3/1·4.00 SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Boyle Sports3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00 Midnite11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75Spreadex11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75 talkSPORT BET11/4·3.75 Coral5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50
3	Uzincso J: M. P. Sheehy · T: John Butler · draw 7 · combo 2/6 (33%) 10yo · G · bpOnly runner	74043	9-11	59	—	—	48.5	6/1·6.87	7.2·7.20 Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20Smarkets7·7.00SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betano11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Bet MGM11/2·6.50Bet36511/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 William Hill5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Matchbook4.8·4.80Betfred7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50CopyBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.50BetAhoy7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet11/4·3.75Virgin Bet11/4·3.75
2	Forca Timao J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 3 6yo · G · bhtClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	56445	9-12	60	—	—	46.1	8/1·9.16	10·10.00 Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Betfair Exchange10·10.00 BresBet17/2·9.50Bet MGM8/1·9.00Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Smarkets9·9.0010 Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Matchbook7.2·7.20Betfred6/1·7.00 Coral11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetAhoy9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50
6	Bergamo Gold J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 8 · combo 2/8 (25%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	132984	9-05	60	—	—	44.1	11/2·6.30	6/1·7.00 BresBet · +11% vs fair All 35 books ▾ BresBet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50Matchbook6.2·6.20BetAhoy5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange6·6.00Bet MGM5/1·6.0010 Bet5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00
4	Beta Reader J: Georgia Dobie · T: Laura Mongan · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 4yo · G · bpClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	329738	9-08	56	—	—	33.4	40/1·38.93	50·50.00 Matchbook · +28% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Matchbook50·50.00Betfair Exchange50·50.00Smarkets46·46.00Bet MGM40/1·41.00Unibet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BresBet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00PricedUp Bet28/1·29.00 BetAhoy28/1·29.00Octobet28/1·29.00Betfred28/1·29.00 CopyBet28/1·29.00BestOdds25/1·26.00William Hill25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00
1	Six Blue J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Richard Phillips · draw 6 6yo · M · bOnly runner	6550	9-12	60	—	—	31.9	40/1·38.93	55·55.00 Matchbook · +41% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Matchbook55·55.00PricedUp Bet40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange40·40.00Smarkets38·38.007Bet35/1·36.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.0010 Bet33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Bet MGM33/1·34.00BetAhoy33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00Betfair Sportsbook30/1·31.00SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 William Hill25/1·26.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00
5	Twilight Glowv1.1 J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 4 · combo 6/54 (11%) 3yo · G · bpFT POnly runner	405868	9-05	60	—	—	31.7	14/1·14.88	16.5·16.50 Smarkets · +11% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Smarkets16.5·16.50Betfair Exchange16·16.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00Matchbook14.5·14.50Midnite12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00Bet MGM12/1·13.00Unibet12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 PricedUp Bet12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 CopyBet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.00BetTom10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 BetAhoy10/1·11.00Octobet10/1·11.00Betfred9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00
7	Boston Run J: Oisin Murphy · T: Simon Dow · draw 5 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	80664	9-04	52	—	—	29.3	3/1·4.01	4.3·4.30 Matchbook · +7% vs fair All 35 books ▾ Matchbook4.3·4.30Smarkets4.1·4.10PricedUp Bet3/1·4.00 CopyBet3/1·4.00 Betfair Exchange3.95·3.95BestOdds11/4·3.75Octobet11/4·3.75BetAhoy11/4·3.75 SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 Bet3655/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Paddy Power5/2·3.50Betfair Sportsbook5/2·3.50Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50 7Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Unibet85/40·3.13 William Hill85/40·3.12Bet MGM2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00BetTom2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 BetWright15/8·2.87 Dragon Bet15/8·2.87 Coral7/4·2.75 BresBet7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 35 bookmakers per horse with the 15% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes is off at 17:00 on 17 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Lingfield (AW)?

1m2f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:00 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Hove Ranger (score 49.0, best price 4.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:00 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Boston Run at a best price of 4.30. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Hove Ranger.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org