19:45 Lingfield (AW)

Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,768 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

What A Tahoo

No. 6 · score 49.7 · +3.9 clear of next best · best 4/1·5.00

Best value vs consensus

Stapleford Park

18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK · +16% vs fair (consensus 16.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way49.7/100 rating

What A Tahoo

5.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Harry BrownDiffers from our pick

Harry Brown may sit a couple of pounds behind Recon Mission in the ratings, but his progressive profile makes him the more compelling proposition over this five-furlong Lingfield Polytrack trip, suggesting there is more to come from him than the bare figures currently reflect. Recon Mission heads the field on ratings and must be respected as the principal threat, while Stapleford Park and Coolagh Magic are capable of troubling the principals if producing their best. On the basis of an upward trajectory that looks far from spent, Harry Brown is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

What A Tahoo

Ethan Tindall(5) · Richard & Peter Fahey · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 49.7 · +3.9 clear of next best (45.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
26d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
65strong
Last 6: 3-3-1-5-1-4
Trainer20% weight
45below average
Richard & Peter Fahey: 7/40 winners last 14d (18%)
Ratings50% weight
35below average
OR 53

MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
2Dreambird Dolly 6What A Tahoo
Prominent(3)
1Harry Brown 3Recon Mission 7Roman Spring
Mid-division(1)
8Nad Alshiba Snow
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Coolagh Magic
Unknown(1)
4Stapleford Park

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.96

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.03

High (7–8)

IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 290 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	What A TahooPick J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 8 · combo 3/45 (7%) 3yo · F · chD	331514	9-05	53	—	—	49.7	9/2·5.68	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · -12% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00Matchbook4.9·4.90Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Smarkets3.8·3.80SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75
5	Coolagh Magic J: William Carson · T: Anthony Carson · draw 7 10yo · G · btClass dropOnly runner	439641	9-05	51	—	—	45.9	13/2·7.57	7·7.00 Matchbook · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook7·7.00Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 William Hill5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Midnite5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Smarkets5.9·5.90SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50
3	Recon Mission J: Luke Morris · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 10yo · G · bOnly pairing	26653	9-08	54	—	—	39.5	17/2·9.46	8.2·8.20 Matchbook · -13% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook8.2·8.20Bet36513/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Smarkets6.4·6.40SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange3.9·3.90
2	Dreambird Dolly J: Liam Wright(5) · T: John Gallagher · draw 3 4yo · F · btbDOnly runner	210225	9-08	54	—	—	39.0	10/1·11.35	17/2·9.50 Bet365 · -16% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Bet36517/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 BresBet8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Midnite8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Star Sports8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00Matchbook8.6·8.60LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50 BetMGM15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.4·8.40
4	Stapleford Park J: James Glennon(7) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 5 · combo 1/18 (6%) 4yo · G · bOnly runner	467274	9-07	53	—	—	38.7	16/1·16.40	18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK · +16% vs fair All 28 books ▾ SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Matchbook19·19.00Smarkets19·19.00Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 Bet36514/1·15.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00
1	Harry Brown J: Tom Queally · T: Peter Crate · draw 4 6yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	142053	9-09	55	—	—	37.2	3/1·4.10	3.7·3.70 Matchbook · -10% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Matchbook3.7·3.70SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60Smarkets3.6·3.60Betfair Exchange3.5·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 BetMGM12/5·3.40Virgin Bet9/4·3.25Star Sports9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25Betfair Sportsbook9/4·3.25Paddy Power9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13
7	Roman Spring J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger · draw 6 6yo · G · brtOnly runner	730454	9-00	46	—	—	34.8	13/2·7.57	5/1·6.00 Virgin Bet · -21% vs fair All 26 books ▾ Virgin Bet5/1·6.00William Hill5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00Betfair Sportsbook5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00Matchbook5.8·5.80Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80 7Bet9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00
8	Nad Alshiba Snow J: Gina Mangan · T: Mike Murphy · draw 2 4yo · F · btOnly runner	543505	9-00	45	—	—	30.7	16/1·16.40	16.5·16.50 Matchbook All 28 books ▾ Matchbook16.5·16.50Smarkets15.5·15.50Bet36514/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 26–28 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes?

The Follow @AtTheRaces On X Handicap Stakes is off at 19:45 on 22 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:45 Lingfield (AW)?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:45 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is What A Tahoo (score 49.7, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:45 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Harry Brown at a best price of 3.70. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — What A Tahoo.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org