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RacingAlpha

16:30 Lingfield (AW)

Celebrate National Racehorse Week Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 7 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 25 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Floating Market (GB)
    Isobelle Chalmers·Andrew Balding
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Devil's Brigade (IRE)AI top pick · 45.0
    Billy Loughnane·Ed Dunlop·beaten .5 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sax Avoidance (IRE)
    Thomas Greatrex·Charlie Pike·beaten 3 lengths
    40/1·41.00
    SP
Race time
2m 5.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Floating Market (GB))

“Sat behind pace early - driven into command over 2f out - urged clear inside final furlong - held on for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.88 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.12.39 score
Devil's Brigade
3.50Smarkets

segment +6.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 4

Each-way22.0/100 rating
Floating Market
13.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Devil's Brigade

Billy Loughnane · Ed Dunlop · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 45.0 · +11.4 clear of next best (33.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 5-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    45below average
    292d since last run (long absence)
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Ed Dunlop: 1/18 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 3.85 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.25
High (7–8)
IV 0.97

Today: State Express (draw 5) and Floating Market (draw 4) get the bias; Going To Graceland (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Floating Market
J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
3yo · F · b
55
—22.0
9/1·10.00
SP
21
Devil's Brigadev1.1
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 8
3yo · G · ch
532
7445.0
15/8F·2.88
SP
37
Sax Avoidance
J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Charlie Pike · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
54
—15.0
40/1·41.00
SP
44
Going To Graceland
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1
3yo · C · br
8
—14.5
25/1·26.00
SP
53
State Express
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: S Woods · draw 5
3yo · C · b
45
—24.0
50/1·51.00
SP
68
Anncanya
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Peter Chapple-Hyam · draw 3
3yo · F · b
6
—12.5
33/1·34.00
SP
75
Echo That
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Patrick Owens · draw 2
3yo · F · bpFT P
00
—4.5
125/1·126.00
SP
——
Dialstone
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7
3yo · G · b
22
—33.6—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Lingfield (AW) on 25 August 2026?

Floating Market (GB) won the 16:30 Lingfield (AW) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Isobelle Chalmers. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Devil's Brigade) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Floating Market (GB) (10.00), 2. Devil's Brigade (IRE) (2.88), 3. Sax Avoidance (IRE) (41.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 5.72s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org