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RacingAlpha

16:50 Kilbeggan

Ireland

BETXS Mares Maiden Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Good To Yielding · 11 runners · €7,068 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Luciole Des Bordes (FR)
    Paul Townend·W P Mullins
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Brave Lady (IRE)
    Sam Ewing·Peter Fahey·beaten 1.5 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Santa Paula (IRE)
    Patrick M O'Brien·Dermot A McLoughlin·beaten 2.5 lengths
    150/1·151.00
    SP
Race time
3m 48.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Luciole Des Bordes (FR))

set the pace from the start - scrappy at the 2nd - margin cut at the 3rd - moved strongly after 2 out - stretched clear at the last and pushed to the line late on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way62.5/100 rating
Lumiere Du Large
9.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.60 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Lumiere Du Large

Danny Gilligan · Gordon Elliott · 5yo

Top-rated of 17
score 62.5 · +36.4 clear of next best (26.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 103 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Gordon Elliott: 9/43 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Form20% weight
    38below average
    Last 6: 5-8-2-3-8
MarketBest price 9.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Paul Townend · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
5yo · M · brh
2245
25.3
6/5F·2.20
SP
24
J: Sam Ewing · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0
5yo · M · br
3022
26.1
5/2·3.50
SP
312
6yo · M · b
07F0
9.1
150/1·151.00
SP
41
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
5yo · M · bt
3410
20.5
9/2·5.50
SP
56
7yo · M · bh
47005
11.5
40/1·41.00
SP
67
J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
5yo · M · bhFT H
F41
18.0
4/1·5.00
SP
713
4yo · F · b
5
23.5
66/1·67.00
SP
83
J: Alex Harvey · T: John C McConnell · draw 0
5yo · M · gr/rot
U0U
11.0
100/1·101.00
SP
914
J: Niall Moore(5) · T: Donncha Duggan · draw 0
4yo · F · btFT T
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
105
5yo · M · b
25.0
100/1·101.00
SP
F10
4yo · F · b
21.0
150/1·151.00
SP
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
5yo · M · bht
58238
10362.5
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: B F Brookhouse · draw 0
6yo · M · bh
42P5
8.9
J: · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0
7yo · M · ch
1FPP
12.0
J: Mark Walsh · T: Barry Connell · draw 0
6yo · M · b
PP
15.0
J: · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 0
5yo · M · btFT T
20
15.7
J: · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
4yo · F · b
7
20.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:50 Kilbeggan on 10 July 2026?

Luciole Des Bordes (FR) won the 16:50 Kilbeggan at SP 2.20. Ridden by Paul Townend. Trained by W P Mullins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Lumiere Du Large) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:50 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. Luciole Des Bordes (FR) (2.20), 2. Brave Lady (IRE) (3.50), 3. Santa Paula (IRE) (151.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:50 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 3m 48.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org