Who won the 16:53 Haydock on 4 September 2026?
Lightning Tiger (IRE) won the 16:53 Haydock at SP 9.00. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Charlie Fellowes.
16:53 Haydock
Betfair Supports Racing Welfare Handicap Stakes
1m3½f · Flat · Class 5 · Heavy · 12 runners · £4,449 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stLightning Tiger (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Charlie Fellowes8/1·9.00SP
- 2ndLesrico (GB)Ben Ffrench Davis·Lisa Williamson·beaten 3.5 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdYokohama (IRE)Conor Whiteley·John Butler·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
2m 40.26s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lightning Tiger (IRE))
“Held up towards the back - made progress into contention over 2f out - hit the front approaching the final furlong - kept going strongly to draw away close home”
AI top-rated Ziggy's Avenger (score 50.7) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way50.7/100 rating
Ziggy's Avenger
12.00Smarkets
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Flash Bardot
Flash Bardot heads this thirteen-runner Haydock mile-and-a-half contest on soft ground rated narrowly ahead of Hamadhan and Yokohama, who share a rating two pounds below, while Lightning Tiger represents a further threat from four pounds off the top. The step up to twelve furlongs on a testing surface is the main question surrounding our selection, and with three dangers capable of closing the gap on the day, this is a competitive Class 5 heat where little separates the leading quartet. On balance, Flash Bardot's edge at the head of the ratings gives her the call, but punters should be aware the case is finely balanced. Flash Bardot is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ziggy's Avenger
David Probert · Michael Bell · 3yo
Top-rated of 13
score 50.7 · +0.1 clear of next best (50.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong39d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight49below averageLast 6: 0-8-3-1-5-4
- Trainer20% weight48below averageMichael Bell: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69
MarketBest price 12.00 (Smarkets) · 6th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Haydock 1m3½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).
Low (1–5)
IV 1.20
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.85
High (10–13)
IV 0.91
Today: Ziggy's Avenger (draw 2) and Lesrico (draw 1) get the bias; Tortured Soul (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 87 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 12 4yo · G · bpFT P | 44448 | 73 | 39.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Lisa Williamson · draw 1 6yo · G · bh | 15287 | 64 | 50.6 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: John Butler · draw 11 5yo · G · b | 05137 | 72 | 42.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 12 | J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 44250 | 72 | 39.0 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Sam England · draw 5 5yo · G · bt | 105336 | 69 | 49.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Alan King · draw 13 5yo · G · b | 82583 | 67 | 45.8 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 7 6yo · M · b | 00675 | 74 | 34.8 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Donald Whillans · draw 4 5yo · M · b | 222441 | 65 | 45.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 9 | 13 | J: David Probert · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 083154 | 69 | 50.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 10 | 1 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 8 4yo · G · b | 63753 | 75 | 45.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 407 | 74 | 46.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: Molly Gunn(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 652324 | 72 | 48.6 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Clifford Lee · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 9 4yo · F · b | 00415 | 68 | 42.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:53 Haydock?
No — the AI top pick (Ziggy's Avenger) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 16:53 Haydock?
Top finishers: 1. Lightning Tiger (IRE) (9.00), 2. Lesrico (GB) (4.00), 3. Yokohama (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:53 Haydock?
The winning time was 2m 40.26s.
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