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RacingAlpha

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Handicap Stakes (Div I)

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 10 runners · £3,245 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Sassy Glory (IRE)
    Rhys Elliott·Mark Walford
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Book Of Life (GB)
    Jason Hart·Patrick Morris·beaten 1.25 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Hear The Drums (GB)
    Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 5.5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 40.46s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Sassy Glory (IRE))

Pulled hard against the bridle early - set the pace throughout - driven clear by three lengths approaching final furlong marker - margin narrowed inside final 110 yards drifting right but held on to score

AI top-rated One More Bottle (score 44.1) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.13.22 score
Hear The Drums
6.80Smarkets

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Hear The Drums

Hear The Drums rates a pound behind the top-rated Book Of Life on paper, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the bare figures understate the selection's true ability at this stage of its development, and over an honest gallop on the Newcastle all-weather over eight furlongs there is every reason to expect further improvement. Book Of Life is the obvious danger carrying the highest rating in the field, while Mercurius Power and Sassy Glory will also need to be accounted for. Hear The Drums is taken to edge out the top-rated and make it count here.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

One More Bottle

Barry McHugh · Lizzie Quinlan · 5yo

Top-rated of 10
score 44.1 · +0.6 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Lizzie Quinlan: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    31weak
    OR 46
  • Form20% weight
    11weak
    Last 6: 8-7-0-6-8
MarketBest price 67.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 3rd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Mark Walford · draw 10
5yo · M · bv
492105
4934.6
13/2·7.50
SP
21
J: Jason Hart · T: Patrick Morris · draw 5
6yo · G · grp
245273
5441.1
9/4F·3.25
SP
33
3yo · G · b
10871
5543.5
9/2·5.50
SP
46
J: Cam Hardie · T: John Wainwright · draw 9
7yo · M · bp
873452
4735.4
16/1·17.00
SP
52
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Jessica Macey · draw 3
8yo · G · btp
667852
5340.4
5/2·3.50
SP
64
4yo · G · bpFT P
8649
5039.9
40/1·41.00
SP
710
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 2
3yo · F · btp
73950
4537.1
40/1·41.00
SP
89
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 7
4yo · F · b
70899
4537.3
66/1·67.00
SP
97
J: Barry McHugh · T: Lizzie Quinlan · draw 4
5yo · G · bb
87068
4644.1
10/1·11.00
SP
108
J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 8
3yo · F · ch
335093
5033.0
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Newcastle (AW) on 2 September 2026?

Sassy Glory (IRE) won the 17:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Rhys Elliott. Trained by Mark Walford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (One More Bottle) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Sassy Glory (IRE) (7.50), 2. Book Of Life (GB) (3.25), 3. Hear The Drums (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 40.46s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org