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5f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard · 8 runners · £3,245 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/2·3.50
  1. 1st
    Harb (GB)AI top pick · 59.8
    Rowan Scott·Tristan Davidson
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Speeding Bullet (IRE)
    David Nolan·Paul Midgley·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dc Cogent (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart·beaten .5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
Race time
59.26s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Harb (GB))

Settled at the back early - lost a bit of ground two out - driven into contention and closing fast inside the final two furlongs - hit the front close home - maintained the advantage to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

v1.11.65 score
Dc Cogent
6.00Unibet

segment +7.8% · Flat · Standard · Class 6

Each-way59.8/100 rating
Harb
4.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Harb

Harb lines up narrowly ahead of this Class 6 field on ratings and looks the one to beat over five furlongs on the Newcastle Polytrack, where the surface should suit a horse with his profile. Speeding Bullet is the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Muker and Khabib also merit respect as the next best-rated runners in the field. The selection's edge over those dangers is modest but consistent across the ratings, and at this level that kind of advantage tends to translate. Harb is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Harb

Rowan Scott · Tristan Davidson · 7yo

Top-rated of 8
score 59.8 · +14.4 clear of next best (45.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Tristan Davidson: 5/12 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    4d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    62average
    Last 6: 3-0-4-5-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61
MarketBest price 4.80 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–8)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Rowan Scott · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 6
7yo · G · b
304521
6159.8
5/2·3.50
SP
23
J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 1
5yo · G · b
20775
6243.1
7/1·8.00
SP
34
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 4
4yo · G · b
436837
6245.4
9/4F·3.25
SP
45
J: Connor Beasley · T: David Thompson · draw 5
6yo · M · brh
06715
6143.8
5/1·6.00
SP
57
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
7yo · G · b
710950
5931.9
10/1·11.00
SP
66
7yo · M · b
855927
6036.3
22/1·23.00
SP
78
J: Oisin Orr · T: Ray Craggs · draw 8
8yo · G · bp
20989
5739.7
18/1·19.00
SP
81
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 2
8yo · G · ch
064008
6533.9
11/1·12.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:15 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Harb (GB) won the 18:15 Newcastle (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Rowan Scott. Trained by Tristan Davidson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Harb, won the race (AI score 59.8).

What were the placings in the 18:15 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Harb (GB) (3.50), 2. Speeding Bullet (IRE) (8.00), 3. Dc Cogent (GB) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 18:15 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 59.26s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org