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RacingAlpha

15:00 Hamilton

Heineken Zero Drink Responsibly At Hamilton Park Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Heavy · 8 runners · £3,664 · Sunday, 20 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Impressor (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Phillip Makin
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Supremissy (IRE)
    Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine·beaten .5 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Royal Duke (GB)
    Rhys Elliott·R. Mike Smith·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 2.71s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Impressor (IRE))

“Held up at the back - pushed along with 2f left - responded and stayed on - moved through to hit the front inside the last 110yds and drove clear”

AI top-rated Kilmac Air (score 40.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.12.02 score
Doon The Glen
7.40Matchbook

segment +24.0% · Flat · Heavy · Class 6

Each-way40.0/100 rating
Kilmac Air
6.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Kilmac Air

The testing surface leaves a small question mark, but on the figures Kilmac Air looks the one to beat and is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Kilmac Air

Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 40.0 · +1.9 clear of next best (38.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    John & Sean Quinn: 3/19 winners last 14d (16%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    37below average
    OR 55 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    33weak
    Last 6: 0-4-3-6-4-6
MarketBest price 6.80 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Hamilton 5f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.19
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.00
High (7–8)
IV 0.79

Today: Supremissy (draw 3) and Kyber Crystal (draw 1) get the bias; Doon The Glen (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Impressor
J: Connor Beasley · T: Phillip Makin · draw 2
9yo · G · bp
636080
5430.4
5/2F·3.50
SP
23
Supremissy
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3
3yo · F · b
319479
5432.4
17/2·9.50
SP
36
Royal Duke
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 5
5yo · G · btp
507153
4835.4
11/2·6.50
SP
47
Doon The Glenv1.1
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8
6yo · G · bv
187556
4837.3
11/2·6.50
SP
52
Kilmac Air
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 4
3yo · F · chb
043646
5540.0
4/1·5.00
SP
68
Kyber Crystal
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 1
7yo · M · grtp
055760
4530.4
14/1·15.00
SP
74
Fear And Fast
J: Sam James · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
4yo · G · b
986571
5038.1
9/2·5.50
SP
85
With Glory
J: William Pyle · T: Linda Perratt · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
57950
5026.3
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Hamilton on 20 September 2026?

Impressor (IRE) won the 15:00 Hamilton at SP 3.50. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Phillip Makin.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Hamilton?

No — the AI top pick (Kilmac Air) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:00 Hamilton?

Top finishers: 1. Impressor (IRE) (3.50), 2. Supremissy (IRE) (9.50), 3. Royal Duke (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Hamilton?

The winning time was 1m 2.71s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org