Who won the 16:50 Southwell (AW) on 5 July 2026?
Senor Cortez (IRE) won the 16:50 Southwell (AW) at SP 2.75. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by John Butler.
16:50 Southwell (AW)
Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap
1m6f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £4,711 · Sunday, 5 July 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stSenor Cortez (IRE)Jack Callan·John Butler7/4F·2.75SP
- 2ndShushi (GB)P J McDonald·Andrew Balding·beaten 5.5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
- 3rdPremier (FR)Edward Greatrex·Warren Greatrex·beaten 0.3 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
3m 5.04s+3.84s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.13.03 score
Premier
5.50BetMGM
segment +9.3% · Flat · Standard · Class 5
Each-way49.9/100 rating
Dino Bellagio
10.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Premier
Premier went close last time off a lower mark and the extended distance looks to be in his favour, making him the pick on our figures. Senor Cortez and John Galt push him hard at similar ratings, while Dino Bellagio can mount a stronger challenge given a more positive ride. Premier is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tripoli Flyer
NON-RUNNER · Fergal O'Brien · 7yo
Top-rated of 7
score 56.0 · +5.5 clear of next best (50.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong3d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 7-4-3-1
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50averageFergal O'Brien: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m6f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.84
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.16
High (7–8)
IV 1.03
Today: John Galt (draw 6) and Senor Cortez (draw 4) get the bias; Tripoli Flyer (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 117 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: John Butler · draw 4 5yo · G · ch | 32357 | 72 | 50.4 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 44346 | 69 | 47.4 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 3 | 6 | Premierv1.1 J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 1 4yo · G · b | 34872 | 70 | 40.2 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: David Nolan · T: Donald McCain · draw 8 7yo · G · b | 31835 | 73 | 49.9 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 6 4yo · G · btp | 453215 | 73 | 50.5 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Lucy Wadham · draw 5 6yo · G · bp | 76006 | 73 | 36.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Andrew Elliott · T: Simon West · draw 7 4yo · G · b | 47236 | 62 | 33.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| — | — | J: NON-RUNNER · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 2 7yo · G · b | 7431 | 76 | 56.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Tripoli Flyer) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Senor Cortez (IRE) (2.75), 2. Shushi (GB) (9.50), 3. Premier (FR) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 3m 5.04s, 3.84s slower than standard.
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