What time is the Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap?
The Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap is off at 16:50 on 5 July 2026 at Southwell (AW) (Great Britain).
← All racecards16:50
Southwell (AW)
Great BritainFree Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap
Sunday, 5 July 2026
1m6f·Flat·Class 5·Standard·7 runners·£4,711
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.056.0/100 rating
Tripoli Flyer
—· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way50.5/100 rating
John Galt
5.00William Hill
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Tripoli Flyer
NON-RUNNER · Fergal O'Brien · 7yo
56.0/100
+5.5 vs next best (50.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong3d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight69strongLast 6: 7-4-3-1
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50averageFergal O'Brien: 2/10 winners last 14d (20%)
Marketno market price available
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(3)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(1)
- Unknown(3)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Fair | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 8 | 7yo · G · b | 31835 | 10-02 | 73 | — | — | 49.9 | 15/2·8.40 | 7/1·8.00BetTom | ||
| 3 | 6 | 4yo · G · btp | 453215 | 10-02 | 73 | — | — | 50.5 | 9/2·5.40 | 4/1·5.00William Hill | ||
| 4 | 5 | 6yo · G · bp | 76006 | 10-02 | 73 | — | — | 36.4 | 10/1·10.80 | 10.5·10.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 5 | 4 | 5yo · G · ch | 32357 | 10-01 | 72 | — | — | 50.4 | 10/3·4.20 | 3/1·4.00BetTom | ||
| 6 | 1 | 4yo · G · b | 34872 | 9-13 | 70 | — | — | 40.2 | 9/2·5.40 | 9/2·5.50BetMGM | ||
| 7 | 7 | 4yo · G · b | 47236 | 9-05 | 62 | — | — | 33.8 | 12/1·13.20+2% vs mkt | 13.5·13.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 8 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | 44346 | 8-13 | 69 | — | — | 47.4 | 17/2·9.60 | 8.6·8.60Betfair Exchange | ||
| — | 2 | 7yo · G · b | 7431 | 10-05 | 76 | — | — | 56.0 | — | — |
Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 32 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green badge means the best book currently pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
1m6f, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.
What is the going for the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
Going is reported as Standard on AW.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
The AI top-rated runner is Tripoli Flyer (score 56.0). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 16:50 Southwell (AW)?
The market favourite is Senor Cortez at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Tripoli Flyer.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyPremier went close last time off a lower mark and the extended distance looks to be in his favour, making him the pick on our figures. Senor Cortez and John Galt push him hard at similar ratings, while Dino Bellagio can mount a stronger challenge given a more positive ride. Premier is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Premier
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org