19:15 Lingfield (AW)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Standard · 7 runners · £4,397 · Saturday, 22 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Lady Manzor

No. 6 · score 59.0 · +6.6 clear of next best · best 11/2·6.50

Drawn 8, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way59.0/100 rating

Lady Manzor

6.50Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.38 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Daring LegendDiffers from our pick

Daring Legend holds a progressive profile that makes her an appealing proposition over this eight-furlong Lingfield all-weather trip despite sitting a few pounds below the top-rated Madame De Sevigne, whose narrow edge on figures alone does not tell the full story. Mollie Foster and Lady Manzor, both narrowly ahead of our selection on paper, must also be respected in what shapes as a competitive middle-tier contest among those three rivals. However, a horse on an upward curve tends to outperform her current standing, and Daring Legend's trajectory suggests there is more to come. The selection is Daring Legend.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Manzor

Luke Morris · Amanda Perrett · 4yo

Top-rated of 7

score 59.0 · +6.6 clear of next best (52.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
Amanda Perrett: 2/5 winners last 14d (40%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
65strong
73d since last run (rusty)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 73
Form20% weight
41below average
Last 6: 8-6-4-4-4-4

MarketBest price 6.50 (Bet365) · 4th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
3Daring Legend 7Moon Beginnings
Prominent(1)
5Madame De Sevigne
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
2Dannick 6Lady Manzor 8Timely Affair
Unknown(2)
1Mollie Foster Arctician

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.77

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.11

High (7–8)

IV 1.15

Today: Lady Manzor (draw 8) and Dannick (draw 7) get the bias; Madame De Sevigne (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
6	Lady ManzorPick J: Luke Morris · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 8 4yo · F · bOnly pairing	864444	9-07	73	—	—	59.0	6/1·6.86	11/2·6.50 Bet365 · -5% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Bet36511/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50Matchbook6.2·6.20Betfair Exchange6·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00Smarkets5.7·5.70SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetMGM9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Paddy Power9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00
2	Dannick J: Tom Queally · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 7 · combo 7/30 (23%) 4yo · G · chtvCGoing 1/2Only runner	708512	9-08	74	—	—	52.5	3/1·4.05	3.75·3.75 Smarkets · -7% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.75·3.75SmarketsSBK11/4·3.75Matchbook3.7·3.70Betfair Exchange3.6·3.60 William Hill5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 Midnite9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 BresBet9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 BetMGM9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 BetTom85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13 Unibet85/40·3.13 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Paddy Power2/1·3.00
5	Madame De Sevigne J: William Carson · T: John Butler · draw 2 5yo · M · bClass dropOnly runner	738790	9-07	73	—	—	48.8	9/2·5.61	5·5.00 Matchbook · -11% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook5·5.00Bet3654/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70Smarkets4.7·4.70Star Sports7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetMGM16/5·4.20 William Hill3/1·4.00
7	Moon Beginnings J: Jonny Peate · T: David Loughnane · draw 5 4yo · G · chtFT TClass dropOnly runner	805489	9-03	69	—	—	46.5	17/2·9.36	9·9.00 Matchbook · -4% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook9·9.00Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50William Hill6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange5.2·5.20
8	Timely Affair J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 1 · combo 3/23 (13%) 4yo · G · bpOnly runner	221331	9-00	66	—	—	46.4	7/2·4.68	4.4·4.40 Matchbook · -6% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook4.4·4.40Smarkets4.4·4.40SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 William Hill3/1·4.00 LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00Betfair Exchange3.95·3.95 7Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Betfred11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 Bet Victor11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 BetMGM11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Betano11/4·3.75 BresBet11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports11/4·3.75 Unibet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75
1	Mollie Foster J: Jack Doughty · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 3 4yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	16666	9-09	75	—	—	45.1	16/1·16.22	27·27.00 Matchbook · +67% vs fair All 27 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00Bet36514/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 BetMGM12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00Star Sports12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Paddy Power11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9.2·9.20Smarkets7.8·7.80SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50
—	Arctician J: James Glennon(7) · T: Simon Dow · draw 4 8yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	34787	9-07	73	—	—	41.0	—	—
3	Daring Legend J: Kieren Fox · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 6 5yo · G · bhtFT HTClass dropOnly runner	20050	9-08	74	—	—	35.8	20/1·21.21	18/1·19.00 William Hill · -10% vs fair All 27 books ▾ William Hill18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00Matchbook15.5·15.50BetMGM14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 7Bet14/1·15.00Smarkets14.5·14.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 25% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes?

The Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Stakes is off at 19:15 on 22 August 2026 at Lingfield (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:15 Lingfield (AW)?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:15 Lingfield (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:15 Lingfield (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Lady Manzor (score 59.0, best price 6.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:15 Lingfield (AW)?

The market favourite is Dannick at a best price of 3.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lady Manzor.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org